意大利早期选举缺勤的起源:解释南北分化趋势的新证据

IF 0.3 4区 历史学 Q2 HISTORY Journal of Interdisciplinary History Pub Date : 2023-01-01 DOI:10.1162/jinh_a_01975
Giorgio Brosio, Roberto Zanola
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引用次数: 0

摘要

在1861年意大利建国后的前60年里,意大利全国大选的特点是投票率低、地域差异大。历史学家在很大程度上忽视了这些地区投票差异及其潜在的经济影响。多组中断时间序列分析回归模型显示了中北部和南部之间明显的选举趋势,与1894年影响选举竞争的选举改革相吻合,特别是在南方。此外,随机效应面板回归模型揭示了区域弃权率的决定因素,表明影响中北部弃权率的因素不同于影响南部弃权率的因素,强调了政治因素与意大利区域差异产生和扩大的相关性。
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The Origin of Electoral Absenteeism in Early Italy: New Evidence to Explain North–South Diverging Trends
Abstract Low turnout rates with high geographical disparities characterized Italian national elections in the first six decades after the country’s founding in 1861. Historians have largely overlooked these regional voting differences and their potential economic implications. A multiple-group interrupted time series analysis regression model demonstrates distinct electoral trends between the Center-North and the South, coinciding with electoral reforms in 1894 that affected electoral competition, particularly in the South. Furthermore, a random effect panel regression model reveals determinants of regional abstention rates, which indicate that different factors influenced abstention rates in the Center-North than in the South, emphasizing the relevance of political factors in the creation and widening of regional divergences in Italy.
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来源期刊
CiteScore
0.60
自引率
20.00%
发文量
68
期刊介绍: The Journal of Interdisciplinary History features substantive articles, research notes, review essays, and book reviews relating historical research and work in applied fields-such as economics and demographics. Spanning all geographical areas and periods of history, topics include: - social history - demographic history - psychohistory - political history - family history - economic history - cultural history - technological history
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