新冠肺炎大流行与全球经济形势:一年过去了

Kwame Adjei-Mantey, Anthony Amoah, Benjamin Amoah, Rexford Kwaku Asiama
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引用次数: 0

摘要

在世界卫生组织宣布新型冠状病毒病为大流行一年后,全球宏观经济格局遭受了严重冲击。因此,发达国家和发展中国家都承受着巨大的经济不确定性。在本研究中,我们讨论了大流行宣布期间的全球宏观经济环境,并将其与大流行宣布后的一年并置。证据显示,在宣言当年,对宏观经济变量产生了显著的负向影响。然而,一年过去了,复苏的迹象是明显的,尽管缓慢。为保持和加速复苏成果,我们建议制定并严格执行战略性宏观管理政策。如果做不到这一点,特别脆弱的国家就会陷入“经济深渊”,并产生严重的社会政治影响。
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COVID-19 pandemic and the global economic situation: a year on
A year after the World Health Organization´s declaration of the novel COVID-19 as a pandemic, the global macro-economic landscape has experienced severe shocks. As a result, developed and developing countries have been saddled with intense economic uncertainties. In this study, we discuss the global macro-economic environment during the pandemic declaration period and juxtapose it with the one-year post-pandemic declaration. The evidence shows significant negative impacts on macro-economic variables in the year of the declaration. However, signs of recovery are evident a year on, albeit slowly. To sustain and accelerate the recovery gains, we suggest that strategic macro-management policies are designed and strictly implemented. Anything short of this will see especially fragile countries plunged into an “economic abyss” with severe sociopolitical implications.
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