亚太经合组织国家股票表现的决定因素

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摘要

2020年,亚太经合组织举行第27次领导人会议,强调促进亚太地区贸易和投资便利化。这为股票市场的投资者创造了交易机会,允许潜在的金融增长和经济发展。然而,由于亚太经合组织由多个国家组成,风险和机会各不相同,这对投资者参与股票市场构成了挑战。主要目标是发现、分析和确定可能对所有选定的亚太经合组织国家的股票表现产生重大影响的自变量。研究中的自变量包括股票波动率、通货膨胀率、实际利率和市值。本研究运用道氏理论、成本推动型通胀理论、流动性偏好理论和自由流通法等基础理论来支持自变量。静态面板分析遵循随机游走模型,调整公式以适应研究。结果表明,所有四个自变量对所有选定的APEC国家都获得了显著的概率值。重要的结果可能是亚太经合组织经济体之间的一体化和相互依存的结果,这确实为投资者创造了获得股票市场优势的机会。
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Determinants of Stock Performance for Selected Asia-Pacific Economic Cooperation Countries (APEC)
Asia-Pacific Economic Cooperation (APEC) held its 27th summit in 2020 and emphasized facilitating trade and investment in the Asia-Pacific region. This creates trading opportunities for investors in the stock market, allowing for potential financial growth and economic development. However, it becomes a challenge for investors to participate in the stock market due to APEC consisting of multiple countries with different risks and opportunities. The main objective is to find, analyse and determine the independent variables that can potentially affect the stock performance of all selected APEC countries in a significant manner. The independent variables included in the study are stock volatility, inflation rate, real interest rate and market capitalization. The study uses underpinning theories to support the independent variables, including Dow Theory, Cost-Push Inflation Theory, Liquidity Preference Theory and Free-Float Methodology. A static panel analysis takes place following the Random Walk Model with the adjusted formula to fit the study. The results suggest that all four independent variables have achieved significant probability values for all selected APEC countries. The significant outcomes may be the result of integration and interdependence among APEC economies, which has indeed created opportunities for investors to gain an advantage over the stock market.
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