论威胁和平与稳定的地缘政治和社会趋势

IF 1.3 4区 社会学 Q2 INTERNATIONAL RELATIONS Chinese Journal of International Law Pub Date : 2023-09-01 DOI:10.1093/chinesejil/jmad034
Rein Müllerson
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引用次数: 0

摘要

当今世界比冷战时期的国际体系更不稳定。为什么30年前对和平世界的高度期望没有实现?本文列举了两种相互关联的趋势,这两种趋势源于人类在吸取历史教训后似乎正步入“历史终结”时期时所犯的错误。然而,这种“历史终结”的思维方式恰恰是当今消极倾向盛行的基础。胜利的西方不仅试图将整个世界统一在一个单一的领导下,而且还试图使世界统一。然而,世界太大、太复杂、太多样了,以至于不能将其丰富的挂毯压成只有一种模式的地毯,无论是犹太教-基督教、盎格鲁-撒克逊、儒家、穆斯林还是世俗的自由民主,都占主导地位。因此,在短暂的单极时期之后,那些不能或不想追随华盛顿的国家,开始要求在太阳下拥有自己的位置,并有权走自己的路。只要不认识到不仅生物多样性或在一个社会中接受不同的生活方式具有内在价值,而且存在不同的政治制度、经济模式和社会安排也具有内在价值,世界上甚至不会有相对的和平。同样,承认和接受国际关系中的权力平衡甚至比坚持国家内部权力分立的原则更为重要。第二种趋势表现在精英和大众之间的冲突中,后者的不满被民粹主义者利用。此外,认为全球化即使不会导致国家的消失,至少也会导致其作用的大幅缩小的观点被证明是错误的。
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On Some Geopolitical and Societal Tendencies Threatening Peace and Stability
Abstract Today’s world is less stable than the Cold War international system. Why the high expectations for a peaceful world that existed thirty years ago didn’t materialize? This article singles out two interrelated trends that stem from mistakes made when it seemed that the humanity, having learned from history, was stepping into a period of the “end of history”. However, this end of history mindset forms the very basis on which today’s negative tendencies are flourishing. The triumphant West tried not only to unify the whole world under a single leadership but to make it also uniform. Yet, the world is simply too big, complex and diverse to have its rich tapestry flattened into a carpet where only one pattern, be it a Judeo-Christian, Anglo-Saxon, Confucian, Muslim or secular liberal-democratic, dominates. Therefore, after a short unipolar moment, those States that couldn’t or didn’t want to follow Washington, began to claim their own place under the Sun and the right to go their own way. As long as it is not recognized that there is an intrinsic value not only in bio-diversity or in the acceptance of diverse ways of life within a society, but also in the existence of diverse political systems, economic models and societal arrangements, there will not be even a relative peace in the world. Equally, recognition and acceptance of balance of power in international relations is even more important than the adherence to the principle of separation of powers within States. The second trend is expressed in conflicts between elites and masses, whose grievances are exploited by populists. Moreover, the idea that globalisation would lead, if not to the disappearance of the State, then at least to a considerable shrinking of its role, turned out to be wrong.
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来源期刊
CiteScore
1.00
自引率
20.00%
发文量
25
期刊介绍: The Chinese Journal of International Law is the leading forum for articles on international law by Chinese scholars and on international law issues relating to China. An independent, peer-reviewed research journal edited primarily by scholars from mainland China, and published in association with the Chinese Society of International Law, Beijing, and Wuhan University Institute of International Law, Wuhan, the Journal is a general international law journal with a focus on materials and viewpoints from and/or about China, other parts of Asia, and the broader developing world.
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