需求响应对挪威能源系统的影响分析

Mohammadreza Ahang, Pernille Merethe Sire Seljom, Asgeir Tomasgard
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摘要

欧洲的二氧化碳减排目标导致了风能和太阳能等可变能源的增加,因此未来的能源系统将需要更大的灵活性。在挪威,水电站将为北欧国家提供灵活性,使该国能够在欧洲电气化中发挥关键作用。灵活性的另一个来源是住宅、商业和工业部门积累的需求响应(DR)。本文基于随机TIMES模型的应用,讨论了DR、负荷转移和减载,并评估了DR在2050年挪威能源系统中的作用。分析表明,DR运行的成本效益主要来自住宅建筑的空间采暖。DR的使用与季节有关,增加了电力贸易量,包括向邻国出口和进口电力,并使电价平稳。挪威实施DR,通过出口灵活电力和进口低价电力,降低了预期电价和系统总成本。此外,它还影响水电和水库管理。
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Analysis of the impact of demand response on the Norwegian energy system
Abstract European CO 2 reduction goals have led to an increase in variable energy sources such as wind and solar, and consequently to an energy system that will need more flexibility in the future. In Norway, the hydropower reservoirs will enable the country to play a crucial role in European electrification by delivering flexibility to countries in Northern Europe. A further source of flexibility is demand response (DR) accumulated in residential, commercial, and industrial sectors. The paper discusses DR, load shifting, and load shedding based on the application of a stochastic TIMES model and it evaluates the role of DR in the Norwegian energy system towards 2050. The analysis shows that cost-efficient DR operation primarily comes from space heating in residential buildings. The use of DR, which is season-dependent, increases the volume of electricity trade, including electricity export and import to neighboring countries, and it smooths electricity prices. The implementation of DR in Norway leads to decreases in expected electricity price and total system cost by exporting flexible electricity and importing low price electricity. Additionally, it affects hydropower and reservoir management.
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