金融普惠及其决定因素:来自南亚的经验证据

Rezwanul Hoque, Sharif M. Hossain, Nur-E-Alom Siddique
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引用次数: 0

摘要

摘要:南亚人口约占世界总人口的四分之一,是世界上增长最快的地区,2015-2019年GDP年均增长率达到6.6%。在同一时期,它还显示国内储蓄总额和固定资本形成占国内总产值的份额不大。该地区在提高普惠金融水平方面也取得了相当大的成功。在短短六年的时间里,在正规金融机构拥有账户的成年人数量在2017年增加到38%,尽管各国之间存在很大的差异。尽管有这些经济和金融发展,但世界上约一半的多维贫困人口生活在该地区。与高收入国家相比,该地区的包容性也相对较低,因为2017年该地区30%的成年人口被排除在正规金融体系之外。为了加速当前的经济发展和减贫,进一步提高普惠金融水平是南亚的一个特别关注的问题。然而,我们对影响本地区普惠金融的因素知之甚少。在本文中,我们利用世界银行2017年全球普惠金融指数数据库考察了南亚地区普惠金融的决定因素。我们的概率估计表明,男性、更富有、受教育程度更高、年龄更大与更高水平的正式账户和正式储蓄有关。虽然年龄和教育程度以类似的方式影响正式信贷,但我们发现性别和收入水平与正式信贷之间没有显著关联。我们还研究了个体特征如何与普惠金融障碍相关联,并发现女性将自己排除在普惠金融之外,因为其他家庭成员可能拥有账户。文件和由其他家庭成员开设的账户是年轻人被金融排斥的主要因素,而成本和宗教原因使老年人不愿开设银行账户。最后,我们比较了非正规金融服务和正规金融服务的决定因素。我们的研究结果具有一定的政策意义,将金融排斥人群(即穷人、受教育程度较低的人、青年和妇女)纳入金融网络,以促进南亚的金融包容性-à-vis。
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Financial Inclusion and its Determinants: Empirical Evidence from South Asia
ABSTRACT: South Asia, the home to around one-fourth of the world's total population, and the fastest-growing region of the world, achieved an annual average GDP growth rate of 6.6 percent in 2015–2019. During the same period, it also demonstrated a modest share of gross domestic savings and fixed capital formation to GDP. The region has also experienced a considerable success in improving its level of financial inclusion. Within a span of only six years, the number of adults having an account in a formal financial institution increased to 38 percentage points in 2017, though large heterogeneity across countries exists. Despite these economic and financial developments, around half of the world's multidimensionally poor people live in this region. The region is also relatively less inclusive than those of high-income countries, as it excluded 30 percent of its adult population from the formal financial system in 2017. To accelerate its ongoing economic development and poverty reduction, further improvement of the level of financial inclusion is a particular concern in South Asia. However, we know very little about factors influencing financial inclusion in this region. In this paper, we examine the determinants of financial inclusion in South Asia using the World Bank's Global Findex database for the year 2017. Our probit estimations show that being a male, richer, more educated, and older are associated with higher levels of formal account and formal saving. While age and education affect formal credit in a similar manner, we find no significant association between gender and income level with formal credit. We also investigate how individual characteristics are associated with the barriers to financial inclusion and find that women exclude themselves from financial inclusion because other family member might have an account. Documentation and having accounts by other family members are the main factors of financial exclusion of the younger people, while cost and religious reasons discourage older people from having a bank account. Finally, we compare the determinants of informal financial services with those of formal financial services. Our findings have certain policy implications to include financially excluded people, i.e. poor, less educated, youth, and women, into financial network vis-à-vis promoting financial inclusion in South Asia.
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