金融包容性对社会问题的相关性,一个因果关系论证

360 Pub Date : 2023-06-29 DOI:10.18800/360gestion.202308.002
Fernando Vera Sánchez
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引用次数: 0

摘要

本研究旨在通过评估金融普惠与社会变量之间的因果关系来为文献做出贡献。利用广义矩量法和有向无环图,对世界银行2019年92个国家的数据进行分析,我们可以证明自动取款机和商业银行分支机构数量等变量(普惠金融变量)对儿童死亡率和教育(社会变量)有影响。本研究的局限性包括每个国家的数据可用性,在这种方式下,我们建议使用面板数据分析,我们可以对可用数据集进行时间序列分析,以及其他计量经济学技术,如向量自回归和协整。据我们所知,这是第一个使用有向无环图技术来估计与金融包容性相关的任何研究中的因果关系的研究。
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The relevance of financial inclusion on social problems, a causality demonstration
This study aims to contribute to the literature by assessing the causal relation among financial inclusion and social variables. Using Generalized Method of Moments and Directed Acyclic Graphs, on data for 92 countries for the year 2019, from the World Bank, we can prove that variables like number of automated teller machines and commercial bank branches (financial inclusion variables), have an impact on child mortality and education (social variables). This study´s limitations include the availability of data for every country, on this manner, we recommend a panel data analysis where we can incorporate time series analysis for the available data set, and other econometric techniques like Vector Autoregressive and Cointegration. To our knowledge, this is the first study to use the technique of Directed Acyclic Graphs to estimate causality in any research related with financial inclusion.
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来源期刊
360
360
自引率
0.00%
发文量
2
审稿时长
8 weeks
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