异步Fifo与内存一致性验证模糊刺激生成的实证研究

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引用次数: 0

摘要

针对假日负荷的特殊性,提出了一种基于选择最优输入特征(SOIF)的周期自回归移动平均模型(PAMAM)算法来预测短期假日负荷。在短期负荷预测模型中,对特征选择的研究较少。然而,随着智能混合模型越来越多地应用于实时负荷预测,动态负荷预测已成为影响预测精度的关键因素。基于SOIF的思想,提出PAMAM模型来改善FS因子的影响,并将假期方程组合成周期自回归移动平均模型,以改善短期预测。为了简化计算,本文采用概率分布法计算FS,采用自回归样条算法建立非线性太阳辐射和温度效应模型。本文通过对春节期间太阳辐射强度、温度等数据的统计,分析了上述因素对假期短期电力负荷预测的影响。实验结果表明,考虑温度和其他天气条件的SOIF-PAMAM算法可以显著提高预测精度,平均绝对误差为2.45%,均方根误差为2.61%。
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An Empirical Study of Fuzz Stimuli Generation for Asynchronous Fifo And Memory Coherency Verification
Focusing on the particularity of holiday load, in this paper, a periodic autoregressive moving average model (PAMAM) algorithm based on selecting optimal input features (SOIF) is proposed to predict the short-term holiday power load. In short-term load forecasting models, there are few researches on feature selection (FS). However, as more and more intelligent hybrid models are used in real-time load forecasting, FS has become a key factor affecting the forecasting accuracy. Based on the idea of SOIF, PAMAM model is proposed to improve the influence of FS factors, and the holiday equations are combined into periodic autoregressive moving average model, so as to improve the short-term forecasting. In order to simplify the calculation, in this paper, the probability distribution is used to calculate the FS, and the autoregressive spline algorithm is used to establish the nonlinear solar radiation and temperature effect model. Based on the statistics of solar radiation intensity, temperature and other data during the Spring Festival, in this paper we analyze the influence of the above factors on the short-term power load forecasting during holidays. Experimental results show that SOIF-PAMAM algorithm in which temperature and other weather conditions are considered can significantly improve the prediction accuracy, the average absolute error is 2.45%, and the root mean square error is 2.61%.
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来源期刊
Journal of Electrical and Electronics Engineering
Journal of Electrical and Electronics Engineering Engineering-Electrical and Electronic Engineering
CiteScore
0.90
自引率
0.00%
发文量
0
审稿时长
16 weeks
期刊介绍: Journal of Electrical and Electronics Engineering is a scientific interdisciplinary, application-oriented publication that offer to the researchers and to the PhD students the possibility to disseminate their novel and original scientific and research contributions in the field of electrical and electronics engineering. The articles are reviewed by professionals and the selection of the papers is based only on the quality of their content and following the next criteria: the papers presents the research results of the authors, the papers / the content of the papers have not been submitted or published elsewhere, the paper must be written in English, as well as the fact that the papers should include in the reference list papers already published in recent years in the Journal of Electrical and Electronics Engineering that present similar research results. The topics and instructions for authors of this journal can be found to the appropiate sections.
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