设计经济情报和比较静态分析在发达和新兴市场经济体

Q2 Economics, Econometrics and Finance Journal of Asian Finance, Economics and Business Pub Date : 2023-09-01 DOI:10.17261/pressacademia.2023.1764
Nazim Ekren, Muhammed Ali Cinar
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引用次数: 0

摘要

目的-在这项研究中,它的目的是通过考虑到国民经济在普通和特殊时期的宏观经济表现,来检查经济情报系统在国民经济中应用的一致性。▽研究方法=在本次研究中,对拥有经济情报系统的发达国家和新兴国家的宏观经济统计数据进行了比较分析。在这种情况下,通过对美国和巴西的宏观经济指标进行静态分析,可以评估一个实施经济情报的国家和一个不实施经济情报的国家之间的差异。调查结果-通过对经济行为者的分析,可以看出,经济脆弱性领域应该受到监管,以便将系统内利益相关者的利益集中在一个共同的中心。同时,得出的结论是,应指导利益攸关方的偏好和优先事项,以调节宏观经济脆弱性。在新兴经济体中,它正在率先进行定位研究,在分析利益相关者的偏好和优先事项的过程中,应该对宏观经济指标进行解释。▽结论=从宏观经济的比较分析来看,采用经济情报系统的国家可以在经济危机发生之前对情况进行预测,因此具备了预警系统。该警告系统确保利益相关者遵守条件。由于这些发展,人们认为,在20世纪80年代以后变得重要的新古典主义经济规则已经开始出现突破。虽然这种突破不是完全的突破,但它表明人们正在寻求一种新的经济规范。在寻找这一规范的过程中,可以看出经济情报系统的重要性。关键词:经济情报、政治经济学、情报、安全与国防、国民经济JEL代码:F52、F62、F63
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DESIGN OF ECONOMIC INTELLIGENCE AND COMPARATIVE STATIC ANALYSIS IN ADVANCED AND EMERGING MARKET ECONOMIES
Purpose- In this study, it is aimed to examine the consistency of the economic intelligence systems applied in national economies by taking into account their macroeconomic performance in ordinary and extraordinary periods. Methodology- In this study, a comparative analysis of macroeconomic statistical data of advanced and emerging countries that have an economic intelligence system was performed. In this context, the difference between a country that practices economic intelligence and a country that does not practice it is evaluated by performing a static analysis on the macroeconomic indicators of the United States and Brazil. Findings- As a result of the analysis of the economic actors, it is seen that the areas of economic vulnerability should be regulated in order to bring the interests of the stakeholders within the system together in a common center. At the same time, it was concluded that the preferences and priorities of stakeholders should be directed in order to regulate macroeconomic vulnerabilities. In emerging economies, it is being pioneered in order to conduct a positioning study on which macroeconomic indicators should be interpreted in the process of analyzing the preferences and priorities of stakeholders. Conclusion- Considering the comparative macroeconomic analysis, it is seen that the countries applying the economic intelligence system have a warning system because they can examine the conditions before the economic crises. This warning system ensures that stakeholders are compliant in accordance with the conditions.Due to these developments, it is thought that a break from Neo-Classical economic rules, which gained importance after the 1980s, has begun to occur. Although this break is not a complete break, it shows that there is a search for a new economic norm. In the process of searching for this norm, it is seen that the economic intelligence system is important. Keywords: : Economic intelligence, political economy, intelligence,security and defense, national economy JEL Codes: F52, F62, F63
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