使用随机部分预算方法评估奶牛-小牛接触系统在乳制品生产中的短期经济后果

IF 2.1 Q1 AGRICULTURE, DAIRY & ANIMAL SCIENCE Frontiers in animal science Pub Date : 2023-11-01 DOI:10.3389/fanim.2023.1197327
Karin Alvåsen, Marie J. Haskell, Silvia Ivemeyer, Hanna Eriksson, Kathryn Bicknell, Nils Fall, Haseeb Ahmed
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引用次数: 0

摘要

虽然从伦理和动物福利的角度来看,奶牛出生后早期分离一直存在争议,但围绕替代牛-小牛接触(CCC)系统的经济证据很少。为了解决这一知识差距,我们使用Agriwise数据库的数据以及随机部分预算模型中已发表文献的参数来评估CCC系统的经济后果。不同农场的CCC实施情况非常不同,因此在我们的研究中,我们选择了有限数量的CCC系统进行评估。研究的CCC系统是:(i)在挤奶时进行有限接触的水坝饲养(每天两次,每次15分钟,持续115天),没有人工喂奶;(ii)全接触坝育21天,人工饲喂8公斤全脂奶94天;(三)混合犊牛饲养,既使用母牛,也使用全接触的养牛;小牛最初和它们的母牛一起饲养,然后在9日龄时转移到寄养牛那里。结果我们发现,与饲养系统相比,采用CCC系统的贡献边际降低了1%至5.4%,在饲养系统中,小牛在一天后与它们的坝分开,并在12周内人工喂养8公斤牛奶。这些结果表明,在某些情况下,与CCC系统相关的成本可能相当高,可能会阻止农民采用这种做法。敏感性分析表明,牛奶销售的差异、对劳动力需求变化的假设以及犊牛日增重的变化取决于CCC系统,这是影响贡献边际净影响的主要变量。假设谷仓结构在短期内不会改变,我们在分析中没有包括建筑成本。该研究仅关注CCC系统变化与贡献边际之间的短期金钱关联。为了加强围绕CCC系统的经济决策,未来的研究应考虑不同CCC系统的非货币影响,以及这些生产策略的长期经济影响。
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Assessing short-term economic consequences of cow-calf contact systems in dairy production using a stochastic partial budgeting approach
Introduction While early separation of dairy calves after birth has been debated from an ethical and animal welfare lens, the economic evidence surrounding alternative cow-calf contact (CCC) systems is scarce. Methods To address this knowledge gap, we assessed the economic consequences of CCC systems using data from the Agriwise database as well as parameters from published literature in a stochastic partial budget model. The implementation of CCC is very diverse between farms, so in our study we therefore selected a limited number of CCC systems to assess. The examined CCC systems were: (i) dam rearing with limited contact at milking (15 minutes twice a day for 115 days) with no manual milk feeding; (ii) dam rearing with 21-day full contact, after which calves are manually fed 8 kg of whole milk for 94 days; and (iii) mixed calf rearing with using both dams and foster cows with full contact; calves are initially kept with their dams and then moved to foster cows at 9 days of age. Results We found that adoption of CCC systems was associated with decreases in contribution margins in the range of 1 to 5.4%, as compared to a rearing system where the calves were separated from their dams after one day and were manually fed 8 kg of milk for 12 weeks. These results illustrated that the costs associated with CCC systems may be fairly high under certain circumstances and may prohibit farmers from adopting this practice. Sensitivity analysis suggested that differences in milk sales, assumptions on changes in labor requirements, and changes in daily calf weight gain depending on CCC system were the main variables that governed the net impact on the contribution margins. Discussion We did not include building costs in the analyses assuming that barn structures may not change in the short-term. The study focused only on short-term pecuniary associations between changes in CCC systems and contribution margins. To strengthen the economic decision-making around CCC systems, future research should consider non-monetary impacts of different CCC systems, as well as long-term economic impacts of these production strategies.
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