埃塞俄比亚南部Tembaro地区基于农业生态的当地社区对气候变化的脆弱性

None Degineh Herano, None Muluken Mekuyie
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摘要

埃塞俄比亚的农业系统几乎都是雨养农业系统,越来越容易受到气候变化和变异的影响。确定农民的脆弱性水平对于选择适当的气候变化适应方案具有重要意义。因此,本研究采用生计脆弱性指数-政府间气候变化专门委员会(LVI-IPCC)方法,对研究区不同农业生态区的社区生计对气候变率和变化的脆弱性进行了研究。采用分层随机抽样技术,从具有代表性的154个样本家庭中收集数据。此外,数据收集于2020年12月至2021年2月,通过访谈选定的受访者,并辅以焦点小组讨论和关键信息提供者访谈。结果:受生计策略、基础设施可及性、农户特征和可用技术的影响,该区所选农业生态系统的脆弱性状况存在差异。分析结果表明,高原生态农业群落总体脆弱性得分为0.029,中部生态农业群落总体脆弱性得分为0.038,低地生态农业群落总体脆弱性得分为0.114,表明土地生态农业群落相对于中部和高地生态农业群落更加脆弱。 结论:为增强脆弱社区的气候适应能力或气候变化适应策略,需要改善基础设施,多样化生计策略,提供改良的种子品种,并加强以弱势社区为重点的水土保持措施。决策者应根据农民的社会经济特征和生计战略在当地规划适应措施,而不是在国际层面上采取措施。
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Agroecology-Based Local Communities’ Vulnerability to Climate Change in Tembaro District, Southern Ethiopia
Introduction: Ethiopian agricultural system is almost all rain-fed agriculture systems, which is becoming more vulnerable to the impacts of climate change and variability. Identification of farmers’ vulnerability level is important to select appropriate adaptation options to climate change. Thus, this study aimed to examine the vulnerability of communities’ livelihood to climate variability and change based on different agro-ecological zones of the study area using the livelihood vulnerability index–intergovernmental panel on climate change (LVI–IPCC) method. The data was collected from a representative 154 sample households using stratified random sampling techniques. Also, the data was collected from December 2020 to February 2021 by interviewing the selected respondents, which was supplemented with focus group discussion and key informant interviews. Results: There was a difference in vulnerability status between the selected agro-ecologies in the district depending on their livelihood strategies, access to infrastructure, characteristics of the household, and available technologies. The analysis yielded that, the overall vulnerability score for communities in highland agroecology was 0.029, midland agroecology was 0.038, and lowland agroecology was 0.114, which indicates that communities in law land agroecology are more vulnerable relative to midland and high land agro-ecologies. Conclusion: To enhance climate resilience or climate change adaptation strategies for vulnerable communities, there is a need to improve infrastructure facilities, diversification of livelihood strategies, provide improved seed varieties, and enhance soil and water conservation practices giving priority to more vulnerable communities. Decision-makers should plan adaptation in local contexts based on farmers' socioeconomic characteristics and livelihood strategies rather than adopting at international levels.
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