外商投资与印尼经济增长(面板数据、格兰杰因果关系和Vecm)

Q2 Arts and Humanities Journal of Namibian Studies Pub Date : 2023-09-05 DOI:10.59670/jns.v36i.4642
None Imam Awaluddin,, None Nurbetty Herlina Sitorus,, None Lies Maria Hamzah,, None Dian Fajarini
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引用次数: 0

摘要

外商投资(PMA)是国家投资来源的重要组成部分。外国直接投资正变得越来越重要,被认为是经济发展的催化剂,是发达国家向发展中国家转让技术和创新的来源。本研究旨在考察印尼FDI与GDP之间的关系。分析工具采用协整检验来确定FDI与GDP之间的长期关系,采用基于VECM的格兰杰因果检验(Granger causality, GC)来确定FDI与GDP之间的因果关系。本研究采用面板数据方法,使用2010 - 2020年期间印度尼西亚33个省的FDI、GDP和劳动力数据。 该研究的结果并没有显示出外商直接投资与印尼国内生产总值、劳动力之间的因果关系。从VAR的脉冲响应结果来看,它趋于发散,FDI对GDP和劳动力的响应是相当好的。这表明外国直接投资带来了技术创新的外部性,提高劳动力的能力需要时间来学习。人力资源的能力和当地公司的吸收能力会影响外国直接投资带来的技术转移。
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Foreign Investment And Economic Growth In Indonesia (Panel Data Approach, Granger Causality And Vecm)
Foreign Investment (PMA) is one element that plays an important role as a source of state investment. FDI is becoming more important and is considered a catalyst for economic development, a source of transfer of technology and innovation from developed to developing countries. This study aims to examine the relationship between FDI and GDP in Indonesia. The analysis tool used is the cointegration test to determine the long-term relationship between FDI and GDP, and the causality relationship between FDI and GDP using the Granger causality (GC) test which is based on VECM. This study uses data on FDI, GDP, and labour with a panel data approach from 33 provinces in Indonesia for the period 2010 - 2020. The results of the study did not show a causal relationship between FDI and GDP, labour in Indonesia. From the results of the Impulse response from the VAR, it tends to diverge, the FDI response to GDP and labour is quite good. This shows that FDI brings externalities from technological innovation, increasing the ability of the workforce requires time for learning. The ability of human resources and the absorption capacity of local companies will affect the transfer of technology brought by FDI.
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来源期刊
Journal of Namibian Studies
Journal of Namibian Studies Arts and Humanities-History
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