2006-2019年气候变化对波兰作物产量的影响

Pub Date : 2023-10-01 DOI:10.14207/ejsd.2023.v12n4p225
Elżbieta Wójcik- Gront, Dariusz Gozdowski
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引用次数: 0

摘要

近年来,特别是自2005年以来,包括波兰在内的世界各地都观测到气温大幅上升。农作物生产对家畜饲养和粮食生产非常重要。本研究评估了2014 - 2022年气候变化对选定作物,特别是冬黑麦产量的影响。分析数据来自FAOSTAT数据库和注册后的品种试验。气候变化对谷物、土豆和甜菜的影响进行了评估。采用回归分析对作物产量趋势进行了评价。研究结果表明,降水量与作物产量呈正相关,气温与作物产量呈负相关。天气条件的影响在4 - 6月期间最为显著。关键词:气候变化,黑麦产量,预测
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Effect of Climate Change in Years 2006-2019 on Crop Yields in Poland
In recent years, especially since 2005, a substantial increase in temperature has been observed worldwide, including in Poland. Crop production is very important for livestock feeding and food production. In this study, the effect of climate change from 2014 to 2022 on selected crops, especially winter rye yield, was evaluated. The data for the analyses were obtained from the FAOSTAT database and post-registration cultivar trials. The effect of climate change was evaluated for cereals, potatoes, and sugar beets. The trends of crop yields were evaluated using analysis of regression. The results of the study proved a positive correlation between precipitation and crop yield and a negative correlation between temperature and crop yield. The most significant effect of weather conditions was observed in the April-June period. Keywords: climate change, rye yield, forecast.
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