利用成像高频限价订单簿数据预测短期股价趋势

IF 6.9 2区 经济学 Q1 ECONOMICS International Journal of Forecasting Pub Date : 2023-11-03 DOI:10.1016/j.ijforecast.2023.10.008
Wuyi Ye, Jinting Yang, Pengzhan Chen
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引用次数: 0

摘要

在高频交易中,预测短期价格走势是一个具有挑战性的问题。最近,深度学习方法被用于通过限价订单簿(LOB)数据预测短期价格。在本文中,我们提出了一个框架,将 LOB 数据转换成一系列二维矩阵中的标准图像,并通过基于图像的卷积神经网络(CNN)预测中间价格走势。实证研究表明,基于图像的 CNN 模型优于其他基于原始 LOB 数据的传统机器学习和深度学习方法。我们的研究结果表明,LOB 图像中隐含的额外信息有助于短期价格预测。
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Short-term stock price trend prediction with imaging high frequency limit order book data

Predicting price movements over a short period is a challenging problem in high-frequency trading. Deep learning methods have recently been used to forecast short-term prices via limit order book (LOB) data. In this paper, we propose a framework to convert LOB data into a series of standard images in 2D matrices and predict the mid-price movements via an image-based convolutional neural network (CNN). The empirical study shows that the image-based CNN model outperforms other traditional machine learning and deep learning methods based on raw LOB data. Our findings suggest that the additional information implicit in LOB images contributes to short-term price forecasting.

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来源期刊
CiteScore
17.10
自引率
11.40%
发文量
189
审稿时长
77 days
期刊介绍: The International Journal of Forecasting is a leading journal in its field that publishes high quality refereed papers. It aims to bridge the gap between theory and practice, making forecasting useful and relevant for decision and policy makers. The journal places strong emphasis on empirical studies, evaluation activities, implementation research, and improving the practice of forecasting. It welcomes various points of view and encourages debate to find solutions to field-related problems. The journal is the official publication of the International Institute of Forecasters (IIF) and is indexed in Sociological Abstracts, Journal of Economic Literature, Statistical Theory and Method Abstracts, INSPEC, Current Contents, UMI Data Courier, RePEc, Academic Journal Guide, CIS, IAOR, and Social Sciences Citation Index.
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