2019冠状病毒病政策应对的羊群效应

IF 2.6 4区 管理学 Q2 ENVIRONMENTAL STUDIES Science and Public Policy Pub Date : 2023-06-17 DOI:10.1093/scipol/scad033
Jianfeng Guo, Xuemei Zhang, Fu Gu, Jiannan Zhu, Chao Deng, Xinze Zhao, Xiaohan Yang
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引用次数: 0

摘要

各国政府提出了各种政策应对措施,以遏制2019年冠状病毒病的传播,但有关这些政策如何制定的现有知识很少。在这里,我们使用改进的Lakonishok-Shleifer-Vishny方法,量化了2020年1月18日至2020年5月29日期间不同地区政府发布的大流行控制政策中的羊群效应。结果表明,所有政策均表现出一定程度的羊群效应,其中美国的政策羊群效应明显强于中国,而弱于全球其他地区。具体而言,中国北方政策响应的整体羊群强度大于南方。我们认为,政策羊群与风险厌恶有关,风险厌恶是由与重大风险事件相关的感知不确定性引发的。这项工作突出了资源充足和准备的重要性。
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Herding in policy responses to coronavirus disease 2019
Abstract Governments have proposed various policy responses to contain the spread of coronavirus disease 2019, but there is little available knowledge about how these policies are formulated. Here we quantify the herding effect in the pandemic containment policies issued by governments of different regions during the period of 18 January 2020 to 29 May 2020, using a modified Lakonishok–Shleifer–Vishny approach. The results show that all the policies exhibit some degree of herding, and the policy herding in the USA is significantly stronger than that of China but weaker than that of the rest of the world. Specifically, the overall herding intensity in the policy responses of the Northern China is greater than that of the Southern China. We believe that policy herding is linked with risk aversion, which is triggered by perceived uncertainty associated with significant risk events. This work highlights the significance of resource sufficiency and preparedness.
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来源期刊
CiteScore
4.50
自引率
11.10%
发文量
67
期刊介绍: Science and Public Policy is a leading refereed, international journal on public policies for science, technology and innovation, and on their implications for other public policies. It covers basic, applied, high, low, and any other types of S&T, and rich or poorer countries. It is read in around 70 countries, in universities (teaching and research), government ministries and agencies, consultancies, industry and elsewhere.
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