贸易开放对内陆发展中国家经济增长的影响

Bolor Khurelchuluun, Liang Cao, Wenshou Yan
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摘要

关于贸易开放及其与经济增长关系的争论仍然活跃,主要是在内陆国家,尽管在过去几十年里已经审查了自由化浪潮。目前尚不清楚贸易开放对内陆国家经济增长的影响有多大,因为最近一些研究人员发现了有利的影响,而另一些研究人员则发现了微不足道或负面的影响。以哈萨克斯坦和蒙古为例,我们考察了贸易开放和经济扩张对内陆发展中国家的影响。本研究采用自回归分布滞后(ARDL)模型,考察了1993 - 2021年贸易开放与经济增长之间的短期和长期联系。结果表明,贸易开放对哈萨克斯坦和蒙古这两个内陆新兴国家的经济增长都有有利的短期和长期影响。
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The Impact of Trade Openness on Economic Growth in Landlocked Developing Countries
The argument over trade openness and its relationship to economic growth remains active, predominantly for landlocked countries, notwithstanding the wave of liberalization that has been examined during the previous few decades. It is still unclear how much trade openness influences economic growth in landlocked nations because some recent researchers have identified favorable impacts, while others have found negligible or negative consequences. Using Kazakhstan and Mongolia as case studies, we inspect how trade openness and economic expansion affect developing nations that are landlocked. Employing an Autoregressive Distributed Lag (ARDL) model in this research, we examined the short- and long-term connections between trade openness and economic growth from 1993 to 2021. The outcome demonstrates that trade openness has a favorable Short-term and long-term impact on economic growth in both landlocked emerging nations, namely Kazakhstan and Mongolia.
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