是什么推动了印度企业的储蓄?

Rashmi Shukla, Ganesh Kumar Nidugala
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摘要

传统上,企业的投资行为(而非储蓄行为)一直被视为模型。然而,近年来,在发达经济体和发展中经济体中,企业层面的储蓄表现出前所未有的行为。印度的企业储蓄行为也出现了波动,而这项研究抓住了可能解释这种行为的总体和企业层面变量的组合。本文有三个目标:(a)了解驱动企业层面储蓄的企业和宏观经济因素;(二)研究公司储蓄是否受到往年储蓄的影响;(c)确定公司的这种储蓄行为是否出于预防动机。本文使用的数据集包括2004-2018财政年度2,109家公开上市的制造业和服务业公司的面板数据。数据分析使用动态面板数据模型,采用具有多个鲁棒性检查的系统GMM估计。研究结果表明,印度企业层面的储蓄主要受滞后企业储蓄、托宾Q、GDP增长率、CPI通胀和金融深度等因素的影响。此外,实证证据支持企业储蓄存在动态持续效应和预防性动机。JEL代码:E21, G01, G32, C33
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What Drives Corporate Saving in India?
Corporates have traditionally been modelled for their investment rather than saving behaviour. However, in recent times the firm-level saving has displayed an unprecedented behaviour across developed and developing economies. Corporate saving behaviour in India has also witnessed fluctuations, and this study captures a mix of aggregate and firm-level variables that may explain this behaviour. This article has three objectives (a) to understand the firm and macroeconomic factors that drive firm-level saving; (b) to examine whether the firm saving is affected by savings in preceding years; (c) to identify whether this saving behaviour of firms is for precautionary motives or not. The data set used in this article includes panel data of 2,109 publicly listed, manufacturing and service sector firms for the financial years 2004–2018. The data analysis has been done using dynamic panel-data models employing system GMM estimation with multiple robustness checks. The study findings show that firm-level saving in India is mainly driven by lagged corporate saving, Tobin’s Q, GDP growth rate, CPI inflation, and financial depth, among other factors. Additionally, empirical evidence supports the presence of dynamic persistence effect and precautionary motives for savings by firms. JEL Codes: E21, G01, G32, C33
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