农地转让还是退让?中国农民偏好调查

Qiujie Zheng, Weiyang Diao, Yonggang Lu, Yunfeng Wang, Guangqing Chi
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Various options under the two mechanisms are also investigated. We find a positive correlation between rural households’ willingness to participate in these two mechanisms. This is the first comprehensive study taking into consideration the correlation and tradeoff in farmers’ choice between the two mechanisms. The results shed light on the heterogeneity of households’ needs and interests in RHL utilization, an important component to be considered in rural development policy-making decisions.Keywords: Rural homestead landfarmers’ preferenceChina Disclosure statementThe authors report there are no competing interests to declare.Notes1 Village collective is a notion traced to the socialist era of agricultural collectivization associated with the Maoist period. Communist rule under Mao redefined the Chinese village as a socialist collective, both an administrative and economic unit. Under collectivization, rural resources were collectively owned, meaning that rural resources were owned not by individual peasants or households, but by “a community body that is seen as the legitimate entity representing the interests of all its constituents” (Kan, Citation2016; Yep, Citation2015).2 The bivariate ordered probit model, even for only two dimensions, does not easily extend to ordered logit model framework due to computation complications (Greene & Hensher, Citation2010). While for multinomial choices, the probit model has limited use due to the need to evaluate multiple integrals of the normal distribution. Instead, the logit model has been used widely in various fields (Greene, Citation2012).3 We also collected 19 observations at a labor market in Changchun and place them in the Other category.4 The survey implementation and data collection were led by the second author whose university does not have an institutional review board for ethics approval of research involving human subjects. The university does not require ethics approval of research. However, to ensure ethical practices, we took certain steps. First, at the beginning of the survey questionnaire, we clearly stated the purpose of the survey and the estimated time needed to complete it. We described that the survey is anonymous, participation is voluntary, and data confidentiality will be protected. Further, all survey enumerators followed a standardized script when approaching farmers and seeking their consent to participate in the survey. Prior to starting the survey, participants were asked for their oral consent.5 The sample size was determined based on statistical modeling power and research budget constraints.6 According to China’s 7th census in 2020, in Changchun, male accounts for 50.05% and female accounts for 49.94%. People of 0-14 years old, 15-59 years old, and 60 years old and above account for 12.14%, 67.01%, and 20.85%. People who are 65 years or older account for 14.15%. 1.01% of the population have no education, 20.42% have elementary school, 35.75% have middle school, 16.05% have high school, and 22.22% have college education. The average years of education is 10.69 years (Changchun News, Citation2021). Since we drew our sample from rural areas of Changchun, the demographics of respondents in our sample show a higher male ratio, an older family member composition, a lower education level, and a larger household size, which is consistent with the rural vs. urban demographics difference.7 We also tested the correlation between farmers’ willingness to transfer RHL and to surrender RHL by estimating a system of two equations. Specifically, we included farmers’ willingness to surrender RHL as an explanatory variable in the willingness to transfer RHL equation, included farmers’ willingness to transfer as an explanatory variable in the willingness to surrender equation, and estimated the simultaneous equation system using a three-stage least square method. Both the coefficient on surrender in the transfer equation and the coefficient on transfer in the surrender equation are positive and significant at the 1% level, indicating a positive correlation between the two willingness to participate variables.8 Since the sample is composed of seven districts/areas and the housing locations may affect farmers’ decisions on their willingness to transfer or surrender RHL, we conducted a robustness check by adding the location dummy variables to the model. We found that the coefficients of the location dummy variables are insignificant and adding the dummy variables doesn’t change the coefficients of variables of interest much.9 Since the marginal effect calculation in bivariate ordered probit model is complex, we calculate the marginal effects based on univariate ordered probit model, aiming to provide an approximate estimate on the magnitude of the impacts.Additional informationFundingThe study was supported by Jilin Province Philosophy and Social Science Planning Fund Office, China (Program Number 2018BS20).","PeriodicalId":22382,"journal":{"name":"The Chinese Economy","volume":"8 5","pages":"0"},"PeriodicalIF":0.0000,"publicationDate":"2023-10-20","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":"0","resultStr":"{\"title\":\"Transfer or Surrender Rural Homestead Land? 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We conducted a farmer household survey of 405 households in rural areas in Changchun at Jilin Province, China in 2018 and estimated farmers’ willingness to participate in the mechanisms using a bivariate ordered probit model. Various options under the two mechanisms are also investigated. We find a positive correlation between rural households’ willingness to participate in these two mechanisms. This is the first comprehensive study taking into consideration the correlation and tradeoff in farmers’ choice between the two mechanisms. The results shed light on the heterogeneity of households’ needs and interests in RHL utilization, an important component to be considered in rural development policy-making decisions.Keywords: Rural homestead landfarmers’ preferenceChina Disclosure statementThe authors report there are no competing interests to declare.Notes1 Village collective is a notion traced to the socialist era of agricultural collectivization associated with the Maoist period. Communist rule under Mao redefined the Chinese village as a socialist collective, both an administrative and economic unit. Under collectivization, rural resources were collectively owned, meaning that rural resources were owned not by individual peasants or households, but by “a community body that is seen as the legitimate entity representing the interests of all its constituents” (Kan, Citation2016; Yep, Citation2015).2 The bivariate ordered probit model, even for only two dimensions, does not easily extend to ordered logit model framework due to computation complications (Greene & Hensher, Citation2010). While for multinomial choices, the probit model has limited use due to the need to evaluate multiple integrals of the normal distribution. Instead, the logit model has been used widely in various fields (Greene, Citation2012).3 We also collected 19 observations at a labor market in Changchun and place them in the Other category.4 The survey implementation and data collection were led by the second author whose university does not have an institutional review board for ethics approval of research involving human subjects. The university does not require ethics approval of research. However, to ensure ethical practices, we took certain steps. First, at the beginning of the survey questionnaire, we clearly stated the purpose of the survey and the estimated time needed to complete it. We described that the survey is anonymous, participation is voluntary, and data confidentiality will be protected. Further, all survey enumerators followed a standardized script when approaching farmers and seeking their consent to participate in the survey. Prior to starting the survey, participants were asked for their oral consent.5 The sample size was determined based on statistical modeling power and research budget constraints.6 According to China’s 7th census in 2020, in Changchun, male accounts for 50.05% and female accounts for 49.94%. People of 0-14 years old, 15-59 years old, and 60 years old and above account for 12.14%, 67.01%, and 20.85%. People who are 65 years or older account for 14.15%. 1.01% of the population have no education, 20.42% have elementary school, 35.75% have middle school, 16.05% have high school, and 22.22% have college education. The average years of education is 10.69 years (Changchun News, Citation2021). Since we drew our sample from rural areas of Changchun, the demographics of respondents in our sample show a higher male ratio, an older family member composition, a lower education level, and a larger household size, which is consistent with the rural vs. urban demographics difference.7 We also tested the correlation between farmers’ willingness to transfer RHL and to surrender RHL by estimating a system of two equations. Specifically, we included farmers’ willingness to surrender RHL as an explanatory variable in the willingness to transfer RHL equation, included farmers’ willingness to transfer as an explanatory variable in the willingness to surrender equation, and estimated the simultaneous equation system using a three-stage least square method. Both the coefficient on surrender in the transfer equation and the coefficient on transfer in the surrender equation are positive and significant at the 1% level, indicating a positive correlation between the two willingness to participate variables.8 Since the sample is composed of seven districts/areas and the housing locations may affect farmers’ decisions on their willingness to transfer or surrender RHL, we conducted a robustness check by adding the location dummy variables to the model. 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引用次数: 0

摘要

摘要随着中国工业化和城镇化的快速发展,大量农村人口向城市迁移,导致农村宅基地闲置。土地利用政策对土地资源的有效利用至关重要。然而,由于农民对法规的了解有限,缺乏对农村土地治理的参与,他们的偏好在政策制定过程中有时会被忽视。本文的目的是考察农民对两种主要土地利用方案的偏好,即转让和放弃。2018年,我们对吉林省长春市农村地区的405户农户进行了农户调查,并利用二元有序probit模型估计了农户参与机制的意愿。研究了两种机制下的各种选择。我们发现农户参与这两种机制的意愿之间存在正相关关系。这是第一个考虑农民在两种机制之间选择的相关性和权衡的综合研究。研究结果揭示了农户在农村土地利用方面的需求和利益的异质性,这是农村发展决策中需要考虑的一个重要组成部分。关键词:农村宅基地农民偏好中国披露声明作者报告无利益竞争申报。注1村集体是一个概念,可以追溯到与毛时代有关的农业集体化的社会主义时代。毛领导下的共产主义统治将中国农村重新定义为一个社会主义集体,既是一个行政单位,也是一个经济单位。在集体化下,农村资源是集体所有的,这意味着农村资源不是由单个农民或家庭所有,而是由“一个被视为代表其所有成员利益的合法实体的社区实体”(Kan, Citation2016;是的,Citation2015)。2二元有序probit模型,即使只有两个维度,由于计算复杂性,也不容易扩展到有序logit模型框架(Greene & Hensher, Citation2010)。而对于多项选择,由于需要评估正态分布的多个积分,probit模型的使用有限。相反,logit模型在各个领域得到了广泛的应用(Greene, Citation2012)我们还在长春的一个劳动力市场收集了19个观察结果,并将它们放在其他类别中调查的实施和数据的收集由第二作者领导,他所在的大学没有一个机构审查委员会来批准涉及人体受试者的研究的伦理批准。这所大学不要求对研究进行伦理批准。然而,为了确保道德规范,我们采取了一些措施。首先,在调查问卷的开始,我们明确地说明了调查的目的和预计完成调查所需的时间。我们说明了调查是匿名的,参与是自愿的,数据的机密性将得到保护。此外,所有调查人员在接触农民并征求他们同意参加调查时都遵循标准化的脚本。在调查开始之前,参与者被要求口头同意样本量是根据统计建模能力和研究预算约束来确定的根据2020年中国第七次人口普查,长春市人口中男性占50.05%,女性占49.94%。0-14岁、15-59岁、60岁及以上人群分别占12.14%、67.01%、20.85%。65岁以上的老人占14.15%。1.01%的人口没有受过教育,20.42%的人受过小学教育,35.75%的人受过初中教育,16.05%的人受过高中教育,22.22%的人受过大学教育。平均受教育年限为10.69年(长春新闻,Citation2021)。由于我们的样本来自长春市的农村地区,我们的样本中受访者的人口统计数据显示出较高的男性比例,家庭成员组成年龄较大,教育水平较低,家庭规模较大,这与农村与城市人口统计差异相一致我们还通过估计一个由两个方程组成的系统,检验了农民转移土地使用权意愿与放弃土地使用权意愿之间的相关性。具体而言,我们在RHL转移意愿方程中纳入农民转让RHL意愿作为解释变量,在RHL转移意愿方程中纳入农民转让意愿作为解释变量,并采用三阶段最小二乘法对联立方程组进行估计。在1%的水平下,转移方程中的投降系数和投降方程中的投降系数均为正且显著,表明两个参与意愿变量之间存在正相关关系。 8由于样本由7个区/地区组成,住房位置可能会影响农民转让或放弃土地的意愿,我们通过在模型中添加位置虚拟变量来进行稳健性检查。我们发现位置虚拟变量的系数是不显著的,并且添加虚拟变量不会对感兴趣的变量的系数产生太大的影响由于二元有序probit模型的边际效应计算比较复杂,我们基于单变量有序probit模型计算边际效应,旨在对影响的大小提供一个近似的估计。本研究由吉林省哲学社会科学规划基金办公室资助(项目编号2018BS20)。
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Transfer or Surrender Rural Homestead Land? An Investigation of farmers’ Preferences in China
AbstractWith rapid industrialization and urbanization in China, a large rural population has migrated to cities and left their rural homestead land (RHL) idled. Land use policy on RHL utilization is crucial to the efficient use of land resources. However, due to farmers’ limited knowledge of regulations and lack of participation in rural land governance, their preference is sometimes overlooked in the policy-making process. The purpose of this paper is to examine farmers’ preferences for the two primary RHL utilization programs, i.e., transfer and surrender. We conducted a farmer household survey of 405 households in rural areas in Changchun at Jilin Province, China in 2018 and estimated farmers’ willingness to participate in the mechanisms using a bivariate ordered probit model. Various options under the two mechanisms are also investigated. We find a positive correlation between rural households’ willingness to participate in these two mechanisms. This is the first comprehensive study taking into consideration the correlation and tradeoff in farmers’ choice between the two mechanisms. The results shed light on the heterogeneity of households’ needs and interests in RHL utilization, an important component to be considered in rural development policy-making decisions.Keywords: Rural homestead landfarmers’ preferenceChina Disclosure statementThe authors report there are no competing interests to declare.Notes1 Village collective is a notion traced to the socialist era of agricultural collectivization associated with the Maoist period. Communist rule under Mao redefined the Chinese village as a socialist collective, both an administrative and economic unit. Under collectivization, rural resources were collectively owned, meaning that rural resources were owned not by individual peasants or households, but by “a community body that is seen as the legitimate entity representing the interests of all its constituents” (Kan, Citation2016; Yep, Citation2015).2 The bivariate ordered probit model, even for only two dimensions, does not easily extend to ordered logit model framework due to computation complications (Greene & Hensher, Citation2010). While for multinomial choices, the probit model has limited use due to the need to evaluate multiple integrals of the normal distribution. Instead, the logit model has been used widely in various fields (Greene, Citation2012).3 We also collected 19 observations at a labor market in Changchun and place them in the Other category.4 The survey implementation and data collection were led by the second author whose university does not have an institutional review board for ethics approval of research involving human subjects. The university does not require ethics approval of research. However, to ensure ethical practices, we took certain steps. First, at the beginning of the survey questionnaire, we clearly stated the purpose of the survey and the estimated time needed to complete it. We described that the survey is anonymous, participation is voluntary, and data confidentiality will be protected. Further, all survey enumerators followed a standardized script when approaching farmers and seeking their consent to participate in the survey. Prior to starting the survey, participants were asked for their oral consent.5 The sample size was determined based on statistical modeling power and research budget constraints.6 According to China’s 7th census in 2020, in Changchun, male accounts for 50.05% and female accounts for 49.94%. People of 0-14 years old, 15-59 years old, and 60 years old and above account for 12.14%, 67.01%, and 20.85%. People who are 65 years or older account for 14.15%. 1.01% of the population have no education, 20.42% have elementary school, 35.75% have middle school, 16.05% have high school, and 22.22% have college education. The average years of education is 10.69 years (Changchun News, Citation2021). Since we drew our sample from rural areas of Changchun, the demographics of respondents in our sample show a higher male ratio, an older family member composition, a lower education level, and a larger household size, which is consistent with the rural vs. urban demographics difference.7 We also tested the correlation between farmers’ willingness to transfer RHL and to surrender RHL by estimating a system of two equations. Specifically, we included farmers’ willingness to surrender RHL as an explanatory variable in the willingness to transfer RHL equation, included farmers’ willingness to transfer as an explanatory variable in the willingness to surrender equation, and estimated the simultaneous equation system using a three-stage least square method. Both the coefficient on surrender in the transfer equation and the coefficient on transfer in the surrender equation are positive and significant at the 1% level, indicating a positive correlation between the two willingness to participate variables.8 Since the sample is composed of seven districts/areas and the housing locations may affect farmers’ decisions on their willingness to transfer or surrender RHL, we conducted a robustness check by adding the location dummy variables to the model. We found that the coefficients of the location dummy variables are insignificant and adding the dummy variables doesn’t change the coefficients of variables of interest much.9 Since the marginal effect calculation in bivariate ordered probit model is complex, we calculate the marginal effects based on univariate ordered probit model, aiming to provide an approximate estimate on the magnitude of the impacts.Additional informationFundingThe study was supported by Jilin Province Philosophy and Social Science Planning Fund Office, China (Program Number 2018BS20).
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