Covid-19大流行和通货膨胀危机对波兰人财政状况和支出结构的影响

Grzegorz Gliszczyński, Agnieszka Surowiec
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摘要

目的:本文的目的是评估COVID-19大流行和随之而来的通货膨胀危机对波兰人的金融状况以及消费者和投资支出的影响。这一目的得到了详细的研究假设的补充。设计/方法/方法:本研究采用诊断调查方法对随机选择的1000名波兰居民进行调查。研究工具是一份原始调查问卷,包含50个实质性(问题)问题和9个度量问题。选定的统计检验用于分析调查结果。调查结果:研究结果表明,流行病和通货膨胀危机导致波兰人的财政状况恶化。在两个危机阶段,约23%的受访者表示实际收入显著下降。大约五分之一的积极受访者受到失业的影响,主要是暂时的。四分之一的受访者表示,消费支出在当前收入中所占的比例大幅增加,需要放弃基本消费以外的一些商品和服务。研究发现,波兰人的投资倾向一直有限,支出和投资形式也没有什么动态变化。研究限制/影响:限制是调查中获得的信息的估计性质。通过在一段时间间隔内对同一样本进行重复调查,可以提高某些数据的可靠性。实际影响:危机改变了波兰人对积累储蓄和消费的态度。认识到这一事实应促使潜在的商业实体和金融机构根据市场情况调整其产品。政府机构可以利用研究结果在全国范围内更有效地管理危机。社会影响:该研究揭示了波兰人管理自己财务的知识有限,可以作为向社会传播这些知识的措施的基本原理。原创性/价值:研究的价值是原作者基于代表性研究样本的诊断方法,解决了波兰当前的社会和经济问题,这些问题在出版物中没有得到充分的认可和传播。关键词:流行病和通货膨胀危机,波兰人的财政状况,消费者和投资支出。论文类别:研究论文。
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Impact of the Covid-19 pandemic and the inflation crisis on the financial condition and expenditure structure of Poles
Purpose: The purpose of the article was to assess the impact of the COVID-19 pandemic and the inflationary crisis that followed on the financial condition and consumer and investment expenditures of Poles. This purpose was supplemented by detailed research hypotheses. Design/methodology/approach: The study was conducted using the diagnostic survey method on a group of 1,000 randomly selected Polish residents. The research tool was an original survey questionnaire containing 50 substantive (problem) questions and 9 metric questions. Selected statistical tests were used in the analysis of the survey results. Findings: The research results indicated that the pandemic and inflationary crises contributed to the deterioration of Poles' financial condition. A significant decline in real income was declared by about 23% of respondents in both crisis phases. About one-fifth of active respondents were affected by job loss, mainly temporarily. A quarter of respondents indicated a significant increase in the share of consumer expenditure in current income and the need to give up a number of goods and services beyond basic consumption. A persistently limited Poles' propensity to invest was found, as well as little dynamic change in outlays and investment forms. Research limitations/implications: Limitations are the estimated nature of the information obtained in surveys. The reliability of some data can be improved by repeating the survey on the same sample at a time interval. Practical implications: The crises have changed Poles' attitudes toward accumulating savings and spending money. Awareness of this fact should prompt potential business entities and financial institutions to remodel their offerings in accordance with market conditions. Government bodies can use the research results to manage the crisis more effectively on a national scale. Social implications: The research revealed the Poles' limited knowledge of managing their own finances and could be a rationale for measures to disseminate such knowledge to society. Originality/value: The value of the research is the original author's diagnostic approach based on a representative research sample, addressing current social and economic problems of Poles, not fully recognized and disseminated in publications. Keywords: pandemic and inflation crisis, Poles' financial condition, consumer and investment expenditures. Category of the paper: Research paper.
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