从世界贸易报告看全球经济:一个语料库和计算驱动的方法

Zilong Zhong
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摘要

本研究旨在利用语料库和情感分析工具,调查2018-2020年《世界贸易报告》中的词汇趋势和情绪变化。分析了《世界贸易报告》2018 - 2020年的数据。我们使用LancsBox语料库工具中的Words工具、Whelk工具和GraphColl工具统计高频名词和动词,仔细研究关键词的分布特征,评估其语义搭配特征。此外,使用VADER算法进行情感分析。结果表明,《2020年世界贸易报告》突出突出了政策、创新、政府等高频名词以及支持等动词,反映了当年充满挑战的全球经济环境。对2020年报告关键词的语义搭配分析凸显了2019冠状病毒病对全球经济稳定构成的重大挑战。此外,2019年至2020年的情绪得分表现出显著差异,平均得分逐年下降,2020年报告中的负面情绪比前几年更为明显。认识到这些语言和情绪趋势可以帮助政策制定者和企业理解全球经济叙事的细微变化,特别是在应对COVID-19大流行等重大事件时。
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Perception on global economy through world trade report: A corpus and computation-driven approach
This research aimed to investigate the lexical trends and sentiment shifts in the World Trade Report spanning 2018-2020 using corpus and sentiment analysis tools. Data of the World Trade Report from 2018 to 2020 was analyzed. We employed the Words tool, Whelk tool, and GraphColl tool within the LancsBox corpus tool to count high-frequency nouns and verbs, scrutinize the distribution characteristics of key words, and assess their semantic collocation features. Furthermore, sentiment analysis was conducted using the VADER algorithm. The results indicated that the 2020 World Trade Report prominently featured high-frequency nouns such as policy, innovation, and government, as well as verbs like support, mirroring the challenging global economic climate in that year. Semantic collocation analysis of key words from the 2020 report highlighted the significant challenges COVID-19 posed to global economic stability. Additionally, the sentiment scores from 2019 to 2020 exhibited notable differences, with a consistent decline in average scores annually and a more pronounced negative sentiment in the 2020 report compared to the previous years. Recognizing these linguistic and sentiment trends can aid policymakers and businesses in understanding the nuanced shifts in global economic narratives, especially in response to significant events like the COVID-19 pandemic.
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