欧盟循环旅游经济的竞争力、风险与可持续性

Manuela Rozalia Gabor, Mirela Panait, Ioan Bogdan Bacoş, Laura Elly Naghi, Flavia Dana Oltean
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摘要

旅游业是世界经济的一个重要部门,对某些国家创造国内生产总值做出了重大贡献。尽管在经济和社会层面记录了积极的影响,但研究人员开始强调旅游业通过空气、土壤和水的退化对环境产生的负面外部性。采用SPSS-AMOS 22.0软件的结构方程模型(SEM)框架,考虑中介的干预作用,研究了自变量对因变量(城市垃圾)的总、直接和间接影响。这一方法已被用于所有30个重点关注的欧洲国家。作为SEM的自变量,在对模型进行众多变量检验和分析后,我们使用如下变量:TTCI、平均停留时间、HDI、GDP、旅游业在GDP中的比重(%)、PM 10、PM 2.5、CO2、可再生资源消耗(%)和循环材料利用率(CMR)(%)。研究的主要结论是,一方面,平均停留时间/游客到达时间/过夜时间的增加和旅游竞争力排名的下降(从最后一名降至第一名)对废物管理和环境污染的负面影响。另一方面,循环经济指标(可再生资源消耗和循环材料使用率)的改善对欧洲国家的废物管理和环境污染产生了积极的影响。
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CIRCULAR TOURISM ECONOMY IN EUROPEAN UNION BETWEEN COMPETITIVENESS, RISK AND SUSTAINABILITY
Tourism is an important sector of the world economy, significantly contributing to the creation of GDP in certain countries. Despite the positive effects recorded at the economic and social levels, researchers began to highlight the negative externalities generated by tourism on the environment, via air, soil and water degradation. Structural Equation Model (SEM) framework with SPSS—AMOS 22.0 software was used to investigate the total, direct and indirect effects of the independent variable on the dependent variable (Municipal waste) considering the intervening effects of the mediators. This method has been employed in the case of all 30 European countries under focus. As independent variables of SEM, after the numerous variants testes and analysis of the model, we used as follows: TTCI, average stays, HDI, GDP, tourism in GDP (%), PM 10, PM 2.5, CO2, Consumption of renewable resources (%) and Circular material uses rate (CMR) (%). The main conclusions of the study regard, on the one hand, the negative impact that both the increase of average stay/tourists’ arrivals/overnight stays and the decrease of tourism competitiveness rank (from the last to the first rank) have on waste management and environment pollution. On the other hand, the improvement of circular economy indicators (consumption of renewable resources and circular material uses rate) has a positive impact on waste management and environment pollution in European countries.
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