跳跃还是陈旧?

IF 2.9 2区 数学 Q1 ECONOMICS Journal of Business & Economic Statistics Pub Date : 2023-06-15 DOI:10.1080/07350015.2023.2203207
Aleksey Kolokolov, Roberto Renò
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引用次数: 0

摘要

即使是与过时价格相关的金融数据中适度的零回报,也严重不利于可靠的跳跃推断。我们利用滞后稳健估计器来重新评估金融市场跳跃的统计特征。我们发现,与迄今为止的实证文献相比,这种跳跃的频率要低得多,对价格变化的贡献也要小得多。特别是,波动性由纯粹的跳跃过程驱动的经验发现实际上被证明是由于过时而产生的工件。
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Jumps or Staleness?
Even moderate amounts of zero returns in financial data, associated with stale prices, are heavily detrimental for reliable jump inference. We harness staleness-robust estimators to reappraise the statistical features of jumps in financial markets. We find that jumps are much less frequent and much less contributing to price variation than what found by the empirical literature so far. In particular, the empirical finding that volatility is driven by a pure jump process is actually shown to be an artifact due to staleness.
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来源期刊
Journal of Business & Economic Statistics
Journal of Business & Economic Statistics 数学-统计学与概率论
CiteScore
5.00
自引率
6.70%
发文量
98
审稿时长
>12 weeks
期刊介绍: The Journal of Business and Economic Statistics (JBES) publishes a range of articles, primarily applied statistical analyses of microeconomic, macroeconomic, forecasting, business, and finance related topics. More general papers in statistics, econometrics, computation, simulation, or graphics are also appropriate if they are immediately applicable to the journal''s general topics of interest. Articles published in JBES contain significant results, high-quality methodological content, excellent exposition, and usually include a substantive empirical application.
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