儿童多系统炎症综合征(MIS-C)死亡率的预测因素:一项来自印度东部的单中心前瞻性观察研究

NirmalKumar Mohakud, BijayKumar Meher, Isha Panda, JyotiPrakash Sahoo, Geetachand Acharya, Martina Mohanty, Sarthak Naik, PradeepKumar Jena
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引用次数: 0

摘要

背景:在covid -19后病例中报告了许多儿童多系统炎症综合征(MIS-C)病例。这是COVID-19的一种严重并发症,低收入国家的死亡率高于高收入国家。本研究旨在找出MIS-C的死亡率预测因素。对象和方法:在这项前瞻性观察性研究中,81名misc患儿入组。详细的临床特征,实验室参数,治疗和结果的病例记录。通过单变量分析确定与死亡率相关的个体因素后,建立了与死亡率相关的显著因素的二元logistic回归模型。结果:发热、呼吸困难、结膜炎和腹部疼痛是入院时的主要主诉。57例(70.3%)出现休克,其中正常休克31例(54.4%),低血压休克26例(45.6%)。研究组有8例(9.8%)死亡。肺炎、急性呼吸窘迫综合征和急性肾损伤的相关性在非幸存者中显著较高。乳酸脱氢酶(LDH)、白细胞介素-6和凝血酶原时间水平(国际标准化比率)在非幸存者中明显高于幸存者。经二元logistic回归分析,LDH升高和使用机械呼吸机是死亡的独立预测因子(P < 0.05)。结论:休克是misc患儿的主要表现。LDH升高和机械呼吸机的使用被发现是misc病例死亡的独立预测因素。
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Predictors of mortality with multisystem inflammatory syndrome in children (MIS-C): A single centre prospective observational study from Eastern India
Background: Many cases of multisystem inflammatory syndrome in children (MIS-C) are reported in post-COVID-19 cases. It is a serious complication of COVID-19, with a high mortality rate in low-income countries compared to high-income countries. This study was conducted to find out predictors of mortality in MIS-C. Subjects and Methods: In this prospective observational study, 81 children with MIS-C were enrolled. Detailed clinical features, laboratory parameters, treatment, and outcome of cases were recorded. After the determination of individual factors associated with mortality by univariate analysis, a binary logistic regression model of significant factors associated with mortality was developed. Results: Fever, breathlessness, conjunctivitis, and pain abdomen were major presenting complaints at admission. Fifty-seven (70.3%) were presented with shock, of which 31 (54.4%) had normotensive shock and 26 (45.6%) had hypotensive shock. There were 8 (9.8%) deaths in the study group. Association of pneumonia, acute respiratory distress syndrome, and acute kidney injury were significantly high among nonsurvivors. Levels of lactate dehydrogenase (LDH), interleukin-6, and prothrombin time (international normalized ratio) were significantly higher in nonsurvivors than survivors. On binary logistic regression, raised LDH and the use of a mechanical ventilator were found to be independent predictors of death (P < 0.05). Conclusions: Shock was the predominant manifestation in children with MIS-C. Raised LDH and the use of mechanical ventilators were found to be independent predictors of death in cases of MIS-C.
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