基于C4.5算法的ISB Atma Luhur信息技术学院学生毕业预测

Ine Widyaningrum Mustama Putri, Rusdah Rusdah, Lis Suryadi, Dian Anubhakti
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摘要

高等教育是中等教育之后的教育水平,包括文凭课程、本科课程、硕士课程、博士课程、专业课程和基于印尼民族文化组织的专业课程。学生毕业是提高大学认证水平的重要因素之一。毕业5年以上的学生人数和辍学的学生人数是决定认证的重要指标,这会导致认证大学的难度上升。本研究旨在通过实施跨行业数据挖掘标准过程(CRISP- DM)方法,对Atma Luhur科学与商业学院信息技术学院按时毕业和迟毕业的学生使用C4.5决策树算法进行预警。这项研究的初始数据为1,015,这是通过对Atma Luhur科学与商业研究所数据库的查询获得的。但是,由于大量的记录内容没有毕业年份,预处理后使用的数据变成了694个,其中按时毕业的有641个,晚毕业的有53个。基于C4.5决策树算法和混淆矩阵方法的模型应用,准确率为93.94%,召回率为98.59%,精密度为95.03%。因此可以得出结论,C4.5决策树算法是最有效的预测学生毕业的算法,因为它具有很高的准确率。
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Prediction of Graduation for Students at the ISB Atma Luhur Faculty of Information Technology Using the C4.5 Algorithm
Higher Education is a level of education after secondary education which includes diploma programs, undergraduate programs, master programs, doctoral programs, professional programs, and specialist programs organized based on the culture of the Indonesian nation. Student graduation is one of the important factors to improve university accreditation. Students who graduate above 5 years and the number of students who drop out are important indicators in determining accreditation which then causes the difficulty of accrediting a college to rise. This research aims as an early warning for students who graduate on time and graduate late from the Faculty of Information Technology, Institute of Science and Business Atma Luhur using the C4.5 decision tree algorithm by implementing the Cross-Industry Standard Process for Data Mining (CRISP- DM) method. The initial data of this research amounted to 1,015 which was taken through a query in the database of the Atma Luhur Institute of Science and Business. However, the data that will be used becomes 694 after preprocessing due to the large number of record contents that do not have a graduation year, with a total of 641 graduates graduating on time and 53 graduates graduating late. Based on the application of the model using the C4.5 decision tree algorithm and the Confusion Matrix method, the accuracy is 93.94%, Recall is 98.59%, and Precision is 95.03%. So it can be concluded that the C4.5 decision tree algorithm is the most effective algorithm for predicting student graduation, because it has a high level of accuracy.
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