金融市场发展对亚太地区法定央行独立性的影响

Law Chee-Hong
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摘要

本研究以广义货币与国内生产总值(gdp)之比衡量金融发展对亚太地区17个国家法定央行独立性(CBI)的影响,研究时间为1995年至2014年。设计/方法/方法本研究采用可行广义最小二乘(FGLS)方法,该方法适合于CBI方程具有同期相关、序列相关和异方差的特点。结果FGLS结果显示CBI与金融市场发展(FMD)呈正相关。在估计法定CBI的不同指标并采用面板校正的标准误差估计时,证实了这种关系。然而,当衡量私营部门的国内信贷与GDP的比率时,FMD的统计显著性不被支持。有一个发达的金融体系来培养一个更好的CBI是很重要的。此外,衡量金融市场参与者对转债业务的影响也很重要。近年来,亚太地区的金融市场有所改善。因此,研究结果显示了亚太地区CBI的决定因素,特别是口蹄疫的作用。
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The influence of financial market development on de jure central bank independence in the Asia–Pacific
Purpose This study investigates the impact of financial development, measured by the ratio of broad money to gross domestic products, on de jure central bank (CB) independence (CBI) in 17 countries in the Asia–Pacific region from 1995 to 2014. Design/methodology/approach This study uses the feasible generalized least squares (FGLS) approach, which is suitable since the CBI equation suffers from contemporaneous correlation, serial correlation and heteroscedasticity. Findings The FGLS results suggest a positive association between CBI and financial market development (FMD). This relationship is confirmed when estimating different indicators of de jure CBI and adopting the panel-corrected standard error estimate. However, the statistical significance of FMD is not supported when the ratio of domestic credit to the private sector to GDP is measured. Research limitations/implications It is significant to have a developed financial system to foster a better CBI. Moreover, it is important to measure the influence of financial market players on the operations of a CB. Originality/value The financial market in the Asia–Pacific has improved over the years. Hence, the results show the determinants of CBI in the Asia–Pacific, especially the role of FMD.
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