2019冠状病毒病增加的不确定性对分析师研究报告的影响

Sangeun Yeo, Yoonjung Lee, Jinho Byun
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引用次数: 0

摘要

本研究调查了新冠肺炎引发的非面对面远程工作环境对分析师报告的影响。通过对2016年至2021年韩国市场的实证分析,我们发现,与新冠疫情前相比,新冠疫情期间的研究报告的预测误差更大。尽管准确性有所降低,但在这一期间,在报告发布日期观察到异常交易量。此外,这些影响在大型经纪公司发布的“买入”建议报告和外国投资者中尤为明显。我们的研究结果强调,大流行的非面对面环境增加了研究分析师预测的不确定性,导致报告准确性下降。然而,尽管面临这些挑战,投资者对信息的需求也在增加,由于投资者对信息的需求增加,分析师报告对金融市场的影响可能会更大。
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Impact of Increased Uncertainty due to COVID-19 on Analyst Research Reports
This study investigated the implications of Covid-19 induced non-face-to-face remote work environment on analysts’ reports. Employing an empirical analysis of the Korean market from 2016 to 2021, we reveal that research reports during the Covid-19 period exhibit larger prediction errors compared to the pre-Covid era. Despite the reduced accuracy, abnormal trading volumes were observed on the publication dates of reports during this period. Furthermore, these effects are particularly pronounced in reports issued by large brokerage firms with “Buy” recommendations and among foreign investors. Our findings highlight that the pandemic’s non-face-to-face environment has heightened uncertainty in research analysts’ predictions, leading to a decline in reporting accuracy. However, despite these challenges, there is an increase in demand for information from investors, and the impact of the analyst report on the financial market may be greater due to the higher demand for information from investors.
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