结合化学预防治疗的多药耐药区室肺结核的建模和分岔分析

IF 1.3 Q3 MATHEMATICS, INTERDISCIPLINARY APPLICATIONS Frontiers in Applied Mathematics and Statistics Pub Date : 2023-10-31 DOI:10.3389/fams.2023.1264201
Damtew Bewket Kitaro, Boka Kumsa Bole, Koya Purnachandra Rao
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引用次数: 0

摘要

结核病是一个主要的健康问题,在很大程度上造成了全世界传染病的死亡。社会面临的一项新挑战是耐药结核病的出现,需要开展广泛工作以实施正确的结核病控制战略。在这项研究中,我们建立了一个数学模型来研究化学预防治疗对耐药室结核传播的影响。对稳定性进行分析,同时对地方性和无病平衡的可能性进行调查。模型分析的定性结果表明,无病平衡(DFE)在R = 0时是局部渐近稳定的。1,但地方性平衡在r0 >时变得全局渐近稳定;1. 利用中心流形定理进行了分岔分析,发现该模型具有正向分岔的证据。在此基础上,对模型进行了敏感性分析,并进行了数值模拟。这项研究表明,对潜伏感染的个体进行化学预防治疗可显著减少暴露于传染性和耐药类的个体的进展,最终导致总体上减少疾病的传播。
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Modeling and bifurcation analysis of tuberculosis with the multidrug-resistant compartment incorporating chemoprophylaxis treatment
Tuberculosis is a major health problem that contributes significantly to infectious disease mortality worldwide. A new challenge for society that demands extensive work toward implementing the right control strategies for Tuberculosis (TB) is the emergence of drug-resistant TB. In this study, we developed a mathematical model to investigate the effect of chemoprophylaxis treatment on the transmission of tuberculosis with the drug-resistant compartment. An analysis of stabilities is performed along with an investigation into the possibility of endemic and disease-free equilibrium. The qualitative outcome of the model analysis shows that Disease Free Equilibrium (DFE) is locally asymptotically stable for R 0 < 1, but the endemic equilibrium becomes globally asymptotically stable for R 0 > 1. A bifurcation analysis was performed using the center manifold theorem, and it was found that the model shows evidence of forward bifurcation. Furthermore, the sensitivity analysis of the model was thoroughly carried out, and numerical simulation was also performed. This study showed that administering chemoprophylaxis treatment to individuals with latent infections significantly reduces the progression of exposed individuals to the infectious and drug-resistant classes, ultimately leading to a reduction in the transmission of the disease at large.
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来源期刊
Frontiers in Applied Mathematics and Statistics
Frontiers in Applied Mathematics and Statistics Mathematics-Statistics and Probability
CiteScore
1.90
自引率
7.10%
发文量
117
审稿时长
14 weeks
期刊最新文献
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