“走出去”的估值效应:来自中国QDII的证据

IF 3.7 Q1 ECONOMICS China Economic Journal Pub Date : 2023-11-03 DOI:10.1080/17538963.2023.2277977
Zirun Wu, Jingwen Yu
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摘要

摘要本文试图用事件研究的方法来评估放松管制政策对资本外流的估值效应。利用中国合格境内机构投资者(QDII)和债券通的政策公告,我们发现了短期估值效应,即股票市场对资本外流管制的负面反应和公司规模可以作为防御这种冲击的盾牌。此外,财务受限的公司受到政策冲击的负面影响更大,这表明财务脆弱性是压低股票估值的重要力量。最后,公司治理质量和地方政府的官僚主义质量都可以帮助企业避免这种政策冲击带来的估值损失,特别是那些资金紧张的企业。关键词:资本控制资本外流中国经济估值效应jel分类:F32F42G32披露声明作者未报告潜在利益冲突。https://xueqiu.com/7552001880/163183133.2。在接下来的分析中,我们使用较小的放松管制事件进行稳健性检查。沪深300指数旨在反映中国a股市场的整体表现,由300只规模最大、流动性最强的a股股票组成。上证50指数从上海证券市场中选取流动性和代表性最大的50只股票。目的是反映上海证券市场中最具影响力的优质大型企业的全貌。国家自然科学基金项目(72373112,72073102)。国家社会科学基金重大项目(23ZDA037)。
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The valuation effect of going International: evidence from QDII in China
ABSTRACTThis paper attempts to evaluate the valuation effect of deregulation policy on capital outflows by an event study approach. Using the policy announcement of Qualified Domestic Institutional Investor (QDII) and Bond Connect in China, we find a short-term valuation effect that the stock market responds negatively to the deregulation on capital outflows and firm’s size could act as a shield to defend this shock. Moreover, the financially constrained firms are more negatively affected by this policy shock, suggesting that financial vulnerability is an important force driving down the stock valuation. Finally, both the quality of corporate governance and bureaucratic quality of local government could help firms to avoid valuation loss from this policy shock especially those with tight financial constraints.KEYWORDS: Capital controlscapital outflowsChinese economyvaluation effectJEL CLASSIFICATION: F32F42G32 Disclosure statementNo potential conflict of interest was reported by the author(s).Notes1. https://xueqiu.com/7552001880/163183133.2. We use the minor deregulation events for the robustness check in the following analysis.3. CSI 300 Index aiming to reflect the overall performance of China A-share market consists of the 300 largest and most liquid A-share stocks.4. SSE 50 Index selects 50 largest stocks of good liquidity and representativeness from Shanghai security market. The objective is to reflect the complete picture of those good quality large enterprises, which are most influential in Shanghai security market.Additional informationFundingNational Natural Science Foundation of China (72373112, 72073102). Major Program of the National Social Science Foundation of China(23ZDA037).
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5.60
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3.00%
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20
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