全球河流考古与文化遗产:人为气候变化危机的洪水风险管理与适应

IF 3 Q2 METEOROLOGY & ATMOSPHERIC SCIENCES Climate Pub Date : 2023-09-25 DOI:10.3390/cli11100197
Bethune Carmichael, Cathy Daly, Sandra Fatorić, Mark Macklin, Sue McIntyre-Tamwoy, Witiya Pittungnapoo
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引用次数: 0

摘要

世界各地重要的河流考古遗址都很容易受到与气候变化有关的洪水的影响。然而,确定最危险的地点并不简单。我们严格审查了22篇已发表的关于气候变化对河流考古风险的分析(ARRACC)中使用的参数。ARRACC覆盖全球17个国家,其风险参数变化很大。最常用的方法是靠近河流和预测极端洪水频率的变化。然而,未来的ARRACC应该从更广泛的危险参数中进行选择,包括渠道流动性/类型、侵蚀/沉积模式、土地使用和工程,以及对洪水和遗产意义的地点敏感性参数。为此,我们建议对ARRACC进行基本的实地调查,主要作为概念性清单或作为定制ARRACC方法的起点,该方法适用于特定河流和当地利益相关者的目标。该框架提出了一个最需要适应的地点的最佳优先次序的途径,以便可以针对稀缺的管理资源。
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Global Riverine Archaeology and Cultural Heritage: Flood-Risk Management and Adaptation for the Anthropogenic Climate Change Crisis
Significant riverine archaeological sites around the world are vulnerable to flooding associated with climate change. However, identifying sites most at risk is not straightforward. We critically review the parameters used in 22 published analyses of risk to riverine archaeology from climate change (ARRACC). Covering 17 countries globally, the ARRACC’s risk parameters are highly variable. Proximity to rivers and projected changes to extreme flood frequency are the most commonly employed. However, to be robust, future ARRACC should select from a wider range of hazard parameters, including channel mobility/type, erosion/sedimentation patterns, land use and engineering works, as well as parameters for site sensitivity to flooding and heritage significance. To assist in this, we propose a basic field survey for ARRACC, to be treated primarily as a conceptual checklist or as a starting point for a bespoke ARRACC method adapted for a particular river and the objectives of local stakeholders. The framework proposes a pathway to optimal prioritisation of sites most in need of adaptation so that scarce management resources can be targeted.
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来源期刊
Climate
Climate Earth and Planetary Sciences-Atmospheric Science
CiteScore
5.50
自引率
5.40%
发文量
172
审稿时长
11 weeks
期刊介绍: Climate is an independent, international and multi-disciplinary open access journal focusing on climate processes of the earth, covering all scales and involving modelling and observation methods. The scope of Climate includes: Global climate Regional climate Urban climate Multiscale climate Polar climate Tropical climate Climate downscaling Climate process and sensitivity studies Climate dynamics Climate variability (Interseasonal, interannual to decadal) Feedbacks between local, regional, and global climate change Anthropogenic climate change Climate and monsoon Cloud and precipitation predictions Past, present, and projected climate change Hydroclimate.
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