陕西省玉米价格波动影响因素分析

Pub Date : 2023-08-31 DOI:10.3329/bjb.v52i20.68231
Lifeng Guo, Jianglong Shen, Youhui Li, Jiao Ai
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引用次数: 0

摘要

玉米是中国最重要的粮食作物之一,也是陕西省最重要的粮食作物。为了掌握玉米市场的变化规律,实现合理调控,促进市场的稳定发展,有必要对陕西省玉米价格波动的影响因素进行深入研究。本研究以陕西省2000 - 2021年的数据为基础,运用因子分析法,探讨了影响陕西省物价波动的主要因素。选取玉米产量、生产成本、受灾面积、农村居民可支配收入、城镇居民可支配收入、玉米需求、小麦价格指数、居民消费价格等8个指标作为玉米价格波动的影响因素。结果表明,灾区和玉米需求是影响陕西省玉米价格波动的主要因素,城乡居民可支配收入对玉米价格波动的影响较小。因此,政府和行业组织可以采取预防措施,限制重大气候事件对玉米市场和经济的影响。它还评估用于饲料和能源生产的玉米的适当比例,以确保充足的供应和稳定的价格。[j] .植物学报,52(2):607-612,2023(6):特刊
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Influencing factors analysis of corn price fluctuation in shaanxi province, CHINA
Corn is one of the most important grain crops in China, and also in Shaanxi Province. In order to master the changing law of corn market, realize reasonable regulation and control, and promote the stable development of the market, it is necessary to conduct in-depth research on the influencing factors of corn price fluctuation in Shaanxi Province. Based on the data of Shaanxi Province from 2000 to 2021, in the present study, the main factors affecting the price fluctuation in Shaanxi Province was explored by using factor analysis method. Eight indexes including corn yield, production cost, disaster-affected area, disposable income of rural residents, disposable income of urban residents, corn demand, wheat price index and consumer price were selected as factors affecting corn price fluctuation. Results showed that the disaster area and corn demand were the main factors affecting the corn price fluctuation in Shaanxi Province, and the disposable income of urban and rural residents had little impact on the corn price fluctuation. Governments and industry groups can therefore take preventive measures to limit the impact of major climate events on corn markets and economies. It also assesses the appropriate proportion of corn used for feed and energy production to ensure adequate supply and stable prices. Bangladesh J. Bot. 52(2): 607-612, 2023 (June) Special
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