具有不同离散度和依赖参数的多元索赔数回归模型

Himchan Jeong, George Tzougas, Tsz Chai Fung
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引用次数: 2

摘要

摘要本文的目的是建立一个多元索赔频率数据的回归模型,该模型具有跨索赔计数响应的依赖结构,这些结构可能具有不同的符号和范围,并且由于数据中的系统效应而导致未观察到的异质性过度分散。为了说明问题,我们考虑具有不同离散度的二元泊松-对数正态回归模型。模型参数的最大似然估计是通过一种新颖的蒙特卡罗期望最大化算法实现的,当我们以威斯康星州的地方政府财产保险基金数据为例时,该算法显示出令人满意的性能。
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Multivariate claim count regression model with varying dispersion and dependence parameters
Abstract The aim of this paper is to present a regression model for multivariate claim frequency data with dependence structures across the claim count responses, which may be of different sign and range, and overdispersion from the unobserved heterogeneity due to systematic effects in the data. For illustrative purposes, we consider the bivariate Poisson-lognormal regression model with varying dispersion. Maximum likelihood estimation of the model parameters is achieved through a novel Monte Carlo expectation–maximization algorithm, which is shown to have a satisfactory performance when we exemplify our approach to Local Government Property Insurance Fund data from the state of Wisconsin.
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