生活在未来:谁能做些什么来改善人类和环境健康,同时确保有营养的食物?

Jan Drangert
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摘要

在人类历史上,我们第一次遇到全球基本资源的限制,并受到人为气候变化、生物多样性减少和化学物质污染的后果的挑战。要养活本世纪新增的55亿城市人口,就必须改变目前不可持续的农业粮食体系。居民可以通过改变健康饮食、回收食物垃圾和更接近食品市场来参与这一转变,而公共和私营部门可以寻找创新的方式来生产食物和设计城市基础设施和建筑,以加强有限资源的回收和减少环境足迹。关于资源以及人类和环境健康不良的原因的全球数据即将出炉,从而有可能预测未来的资源限制和营养不平衡。今天,全球农业粮食系统造成了全球四分之一以上的温室气体排放、五分之四的富营养化和十分之九以上的生物多样性损失。修订饮食、减少粮食浪费和无土粮食生产将大大减少农业用地,并按比例减少温室气体排放和生物多样性损失。新兴的基础设施和技术与养分回收相结合,可以通过将全球化肥需求减半来缩小资源缺口,同时仍能养活世界人口。
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Living The Future: Who Can Do What to Improve Human and Environmental Health While Securing Nutritious Food?
For the first time in human history, we encounter global limits of essential resources and are being challenged by the consequences of man-made climate change, reduced biodiversity and pollution by chemical substances. Feeding the extra 5.5 billion urban people in this century requires transformation of the present unsustainable agrifood system. Residents can take part in this transformation by changing to healthy diets, recycle food waste and come closer to the food markets, while public and private sectors could look for innovative ways to produce food and to design city infrastructure and buildings that will enhance recycling of limited resouces and reduce environmental foot prints. Global data are forthcoming on resources and on causes of human and environmental ill heatlh, making it possible to conjure future resources restrictions and imbalances of nutrients. Today, the global agrifood system contributes more than a quarter of the global GHG emissions, four-fifth of eutrophication and more than nine-tenth of biodiversity losses. Revised diets, reduced food waste and soilless food production will significantly shrink agricultural land use – and proportionally reduce greenhouse gas emissions and biodiversity losses. Emerging infrastructure and technologies in combination with recycling of nutrients can close the resource gaps by halving the global demand for fertilisers and still feed the world.
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