利用共同进化模拟全球变暖的影响

C E Neal-Sturgess
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引用次数: 0

摘要

在他们的论文中,最小作用的自然选择[1]将进化描述为符合最小作用原理(PLA)的路径积分过程。从这一概念出发,导出了环境协同进化的运动方程。共同进化[2]是一种广泛存在的现象,任何耦合微分方程系统都符合共同进化。遵循这一思想以及与路径积分和PLA的联系,可以将共同进化推广到任何耦合微分方程系统,如全球变暖;这就是这里所做的。对所涉及的拉格朗日量采取近似的方法,给出了一个新的简单度量,定义为“影响系数”,它反映了全球变暖对特定效应的重要性,使用经验证据来校准模型;除热浪持续时间外,该结果与其他公布的数值具有相似的重要性。
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The Use of Co-evolution to Model the Effects of Global Warming
In their paper Natural selection for least action [1] depict evolution as a Path Integral process conforming to the Principle of Least Action (PLA). From this concept, an equation of motion for environmental coevolution was derived. Co-evolution [2] is a widespread phenomenon, as any system of coupled differential equations will conform to Co-evolution. Following this idea and the link to Path Integrals and PLA it is possible to generalise Co-evolution to any system of coupled differential equations such as Global Warming; that is what is done here. Taking an approximate approach to the Lagrangians involved gives a new simple metric defined as a “Coefficient of Impact” which reflects the importance of global warming on the particular effect, empirical evidence is used to calibrate the model; the results give similar levels of importance to other published values with the exception of the duration of heat waves.
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