评级量表悖论:偿付能力2框架的应用

Standards Pub Date : 2023-10-12 DOI:10.3390/standards3040025
Jacopo Giacomelli
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引用次数: 0

摘要

这项工作旨在确定信用保险公司在偿付能力2监管框架下使用的评级系统的最佳评级尺度。为此,我们应用并进一步发展了先前发表的关于评定量表性质的结果。给定评分尺度下的分区必须满足评分模型用户的两个需求:高效的信息综合和稳定的语义。这些需要一般不可能同时得到解决。尽管如此,还是可以将分区指定为满足一个需求的两个选择的线性组合。数值表明,一般情况下,在现实假设下,最优组合是非平凡的,主要受公司利益相关者确定的目标收益和债务人违约分布概率的驱动。
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The Rating Scale Paradox: An Application to the Solvency 2 Framework
This work aims to identify the optimal rating scale for the rating system used by a credit insurance company subjected to the Solvency 2 regulatory framework. To do so, we apply and further develop a previously published result concerning the rating scale properties. The partition underlying a given rating scale must satisfy two needs of the rating model user: efficient information synthesis and stable semantics. Those needs cannot be addressed together in general. Nonetheless, it is possible to specify the partition as a linear combination of the two choices that meet one requirement each. We numerically show that, in general, the optimal combination is nontrivial under realistic assumptions and is mainly driven by the target return fixed by the company’s stakeholders and the debtors’ probability of default distribution.
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