尼日利亚外债与减贫关系研究:1980-2019年分位数分析

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摘要

本研究使用分位数回归来审查外国发展援助、外债存量和实际有效汇率意味着一篮子商品和服务对尼日利亚减贫的平均影响。分位数回归的结果显示,外援是正的,统计上不显著。而外债和实际汇率是显著和积极的。外债、援助和汇率在减少贫穷方面平均存在着短期、中期和长期的关系。与此同时,外债在短期内对减少贫穷有消极和重大的平均影响。此外,对外援助在短期和长期表现为平均正但不显著的关系,汇率在短期和长期表现为负但统计显著的关系。这意味着来自借款和援助的资金可以影响国家发展计划的包容性减贫。
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Examining The Relationship Between Foreign Debt And Poverty Reduction In Nigeria: Quantile Analysis From 1980-2019
This study use quantile regression to examine the foreign assistance for development, external debt as in stock and real effective exchange rate means a consumer basket of goods and services average effect on poverty reduction in Nigeria. The result of quantile regression reveals that foreign aid is positive and statistically insignificant. While external debt and real exchange rate are significant and positive. There is the existence of an average short, medium and long term relationship between foreign debt, aid and exchange rate on poverty reduction. At the same time, foreign debt has a negative and significant average effect on poverty reduction in the short term. Also, foreign aid shows a positive average but insignificant relationship in the short and long term, exchange rate indicates negative and statistically significant relationship in short and long-run on poverty reduction. It implies funds from borrowing and aids can impact on national development plans inclusive poverty reduction.
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