外商直接投资和基础设施对老挝经济增长的影响

Khammai Bounphone, Keoudone Keothephar, Vilayvanh Srithilat, Somwang Kidoikhammuan
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摘要

本研究的主要内容是利用1995-2020年的时间序列数据考察外国直接投资和基础设施对老挝人民民主共和国经济增长的长期关系。通过自回归分布滞后(ARDL)边界检验估计变量之间长期协整的经验证据。实证结果表明,从长期来看,FDI变量对老挝经济增长水平具有显著的正向影响。同样,从长远来看,电信、电力和航空运输等基础设施变量在支持经济增长方面发挥着重要作用,并且在层面上具有积极和统计显著的影响。因此,为了实现可持续经济增长的目标,老挝政府应该吸引和维持更多的外国直接投资,改善电信,电力和航空运输等基础设施,以促进经济增长。
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The Effect of Foreign Direct Investment and Infrastructure on Economic Growth in Laos
The main of this study examines the long-run relationship between foreign direct investment and infrastructure on economic growth in Lao PDR using time series data from 1995-2020. The empirical evidence of cointegration among the variables in the long run by Autoregressive Distributed Lag (ARDL) bounds test estimates. The empirical results indicate that the FDI variable has a positive and significant impact on the level of Laos’ economic growth in the long run. Similarly, infrastructure variables such as telecommunication, electricity, and air transport play important roles in supporting economic growth in the long run and there are positive and statistically significant impacts at the level. As a result, to achieve the target of sustainable economic growth the government of Laos should attract and sustain more foreign direct investment and improve the infrastructure such as telecommunication, electricity, and air transport to boost economic growth shortly.
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