基于稀疏动态规划的行为宏观经济学

IF 3.9 2区 经济学 Q1 ECONOMICS Journal of the European Economic Association Pub Date : 2023-10-11 DOI:10.1093/jeea/jvad057
Xavier Gabaix
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引用次数: 0

摘要

提出了一种易于处理的有界理性动态规划建模方法。代理使用一个内生性简化的,或“稀疏”的模型,世界和他的行为和行为的后果,根据行为Bellman方程。该框架产生了宏观经济学和金融学中一些经典模型的行为版本。在生命周期模型中,agent最初不太关注退休和储蓄不足;在生命的后期,他逐渐储蓄更多,产生现实的动态。在消费-储蓄模型中,消费者决定很少或不关注利率,而更关注自己的收入。李嘉图等价理论和卢卡斯批判在一定程度上是失败的,因为消费者可能不会完全关注税收和政策变化。在默顿型动态投资组合选择问题中,代理人内生地对股票溢价和套期保值需求条件的变化关注有限或不关注。最后,在新古典增长模型中,经济主体根据一个简化的宏观经济模型行动;在均衡状态下,波动更大、更持久。
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Behavioral Macroeconomics VIA Sparse Dynamic Programming
Abstract This paper proposes a tractable way to model boundedly rational dynamic programming. The agent uses an endogenously simplified, or “sparse,” model of the world and the consequences of his actions and acts according to a behavioral Bellman equation. The framework yields a behavioral version of some of the canonical models in macroeconomics and finance. In the life-cycle model, the agent initially does not pay much attention to retirement and undersaves; late in life, he progressively saves more, generating realistic dynamics. In the consumption-savings model, the consumer decides to pay little or no attention to the interest rate and more attention to his income. Ricardian equivalence and the Lucas critique partially fail because the consumer may not pay full attention to taxes and policy changes. In a Merton-style dynamic portfolio choice problem, the agent endogenously pays limited or no attention to the varying equity premium and hedging demand terms. Finally, in the neoclassical growth model, agents act on a simplified model of the macroeconomy; in equilibrium, fluctuations are larger and more persistent.
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来源期刊
CiteScore
7.80
自引率
2.80%
发文量
63
期刊介绍: Journal of the European Economic Association replaces the European Economic Review as the official journal of the association. JEEA publishes articles of the highest scientific quality and is an outlet for theoretical and empirical work with global relevance. The journal is committed to promoting the ambitions of the EEA: the development and application of economics as a science, as well as the communication and exchange between teachers, researchers and students in economics.
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