数据扰动对LSTM预测算法影响的分析与改进方法

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引用次数: 0

摘要

如果使用带有噪声或异常值的采样数据来训练长短期记忆(LSTM)网络,那么采样数据中的扰动和异常值是否会影响LSTM网络的训练性能和预测精度是一个关键问题。本文分析了使用扰动和孤立/斑块离群数据进行网络训练和预测时对LSTM预测效果的影响。结果表明,预测精度随扰动幅度和异常值范围的增大而降低。为了克服这种影响,提出了一种改进的预置离群容错滤波方法,并建立了一个离群容错多lstm模型,即OTML模型。将该模型的预测效果与不加滤波的LSTM模型和加均值滤波的LSTM模型进行了比较。对比结果表明,本文提出的OTML预测模型能够彻底消除随机噪声和孤立异常值的影响。当遇到宽度小于窗口半径的斑块异常点时,OTML预测模型也可以将其过滤掉,从而实现对数据的高保真预测。
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Analysis and Improvement Approach of the Impact of Data Disturbance on LSTM Prediction Algorithm
If the sampling data with noise or outliers are used to train the long-short-term memory (short as LSTM) network, whether the perturbations and outliers in sampling data affect the training performance and prediction accuracy of LSTM networks is a key problem. This paper analyzed the impact on the LSTM prediction effect when using perturbations and isolated/patchy outliers involved data for network training and prediction. The results showed that the prediction accuracy decreases as the amplitude of the perturbations and the range of outliers increase. In order to overcome this effect, an improved method of Pre-set Outliers Tolerant Filter is proposed, and an Outliers-Tolerant Multi-LSTM model, in short, the OTML model, is established. The prediction effect of the proposed model is compared with that of the LSTM model without the filter and that of the LSTM model with a mean filter. Comparison results showed that the OTML prediction model proposed in this paper can eliminate the influence of random noise and isolated outliers thoroughly. When meeting the patchy outliers whose width is smaller than the radius of the window, the OTML prediction model can filter them out too, so as to realize the high-fidelity prediction of the data.
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