基于启发式算法增强的连接CNN与ANFIS的市场智能需求预测

IF 1.5 4区 工程技术 Q3 AUTOMATION & CONTROL SYSTEMS Journal of Control and Decision Pub Date : 2023-10-16 DOI:10.1080/23307706.2023.2257695
N. Srikanth Reddy
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引用次数: 0

摘要

摘要本文提出了一种基于卷积神经网络(CNN)和自适应网络模糊推理系统(ANFIS)的新型需求预测方法。最初收集有关历史需求和销售数据的数据,并结合“广告效果、支出、促销和营销事件数据”。然后,确定一阶统计度量和二阶统计度量作为数据的显著特征。最后,通过将修改后的CNN与ANFIS进行串联进行预测,称为串联学习模型(concatated Learning Model, CLM),其中CNN学习由ANFIS层而不是完全连接层预测的最优特征。利用修正风角搜索猎鹿(DH-MWS)来增强CNN和ANFIS架构,确保在预测过程中有更好的表现。仿真结果表明,当所提出的解决方案应用于公共数据时,商店在营销部门的智能需求预测方面达到了更高的准确性。关键词:需求预测营销部门关联学习模型修正风角搜索猎鹿披露声明作者未报告潜在利益冲突。其他信息:贡献者说明Srikanth ReddyN。Srikanth Reddy。商科毕业生,毕业后获得管理学博士学位。超过15年的教育和研究经验。感兴趣的领域包括市场营销,系统和分析。
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Intelligent demand forecasting in marketing sector using concatenated CNN with ANFIS enhanced by heuristic algorithm
AbstractThis task introduces a novel demand forecasting method using concatenated Convolutional Neural Network (CNN) with an Adaptive Network-based Fuzzy Inference System (ANFIS). The data regarding the historical demand and sales data in integration with ‘advertising effectiveness, expenditure, promotions, and marketing events data' are collected initially. Then, the first-order statistical metrics and second-order statistical metrics are determined as the significant features of the data. Finally, the forecasting is performed by the concatenation of modified CNN with ANFIS termed Concatenated Learning Model (CLM), in which the CNN learns the optimal features that are forecasted by the ANFIS layer instead of the fully connected layer. Deer Hunting with Modified Wind Angle Search (DH-MWS) is used to enhance the CNN and ANFIS architecture, ensuring better performance during forecasting. Simulation findings demonstrate that when the proposed solution is applied to public data, the store achieves improved accuracies concerning intelligent demand forecasting in the marketing sector.KEYWORDS: Demand forecastingmarketing sectorconcatenated learning modeldeer hunting with modified wind angle search Disclosure statementNo potential conflict of interest was reported by the author(s).Additional informationNotes on contributorsN. Srikanth ReddyN. Srikanth Reddy. A Commerce graduate with Post-Graduation in Management and Doctorate in Management. More than 15 years of experience in education and research. Areas of interest include Marketing, Systems and Analytics.
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来源期刊
Journal of Control and Decision
Journal of Control and Decision Mathematics-Control and Optimization
CiteScore
2.80
自引率
17.60%
发文量
76
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