中国新冠肺炎疫情空间统计分析及危险因素识别

IF 2 4区 医学 Q3 PUBLIC, ENVIRONMENTAL & OCCUPATIONAL HEALTH American journal of health behavior Pub Date : 2023-08-30 DOI:10.5993/ajhb.47.4.5
Jinyang Liu, Boping Tian
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引用次数: 0

摘要

目的:探讨新型冠状病毒肺炎在中国的空间聚集和演变,并确定影响疾病传播的危险因素。其目的是提供可用于在未来面对类似传染病时实施及时和有效干预措施的见解,并确保世界各地人民的安全。方法:采用空间统计和测量方法,分析中国新冠肺炎疫情的空间聚集与演变。对疫情数据进行了空间可视化制图和空间统计分析。采用地理探测器与空间杜宾模型相结合的方法,对中国省域传播的各种危险因素进行了综合探讨。结果:分析揭示了COVID-19在中国的空间聚集和演变规律,以及影响疾病传播的危险因素,包括人口密度、交通网络和气候因素。地理探测器和空间Dubin模型在识别风险因素方面是有效的,结果为实施及时有效的干预措施提供了有价值的见解。结论:我们强调,面对COVID-19等传染性疾病,及时有效的干预措施非常重要。我们的研究结果可以提高人们的预防和控制意识,并应对未来可能爆发的类似传染病。该研究提供了对COVID-19及其空间格局的深刻理解,所获得的见解可以保护全世界的生命和财产。
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Spatial Statistical Analysis and Risk Factor Identification of COVID-19 in China
Objectives: In this paper, we discuss the spatial aggregation and evolution of COVID-19 in China and identify the risk factors affecting the spread of the disease. The aim is to provide insights that can be used to implement timely and effective interventions in the face of similar infectious diseases in the future and to ensure the safety of people around the world. Methods: We used spatial statistics and measurement methods to analyze the spatial aggregation and evolution of COVID-19 in China. We carried out spatial visualization mapping and spatial statistical analysis on the data of the epidemic. Various risk factors of COVID-19 spread at the provincial level in China were comprehensively discussed by combining geographic detector and spatial Dubin model. Results: The analysis revealed the spatial aggregation and evolution patterns of COVID-19 in China and the risk factors affecting the spread of the disease, including population density, transportation network, and climate factors. The geographic detector and spatial Dubin model were effective in identifying the risk factors, and the results provide valuable insights for implementing timely and effective interventions. Conclusions: We emphasize the importance of timely and effective interventions in the face of infectious diseases such as COVID-19. Our results can raise awareness of prevention and control and respond to potential outbreaks of similar infectious diseases in the future. The study provides a deep understanding of COVID-19 and its spatial patterns, and the insights gained can safeguard both lives and property worldwide.
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来源期刊
American journal of health behavior
American journal of health behavior PUBLIC, ENVIRONMENTAL & OCCUPATIONAL HEALTH-
CiteScore
3.30
自引率
0.00%
发文量
82
期刊介绍: The Journal seeks to improve the quality of life through multidisciplinary health efforts in fostering a better understanding of the multidimensional nature of both individuals and social systems as they relate to health behaviors.
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