私募,投资者情绪和股票价格异常

IF 0.7 Q4 COMPUTER SCIENCE, ARTIFICIAL INTELLIGENCE Journal of Advanced Computational Intelligence and Intelligent Informatics Pub Date : 2023-09-20 DOI:10.20965/jaciii.2023.p0771
Gengwang Liu, Yue Yang, Wanting Mo, Wentao Gu, Rihan Wang
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引用次数: 0

摘要

随着2006年《上市公司证券发行管理办法》的出台,a股定向增发发展势头强劲。这就加强了对私募对股价影响的研究。2012年,中国政府放宽了对上市公司定向发行的要求,此后定向发行激增。本研究以2013 - 2021年间在a股市场进行私募的上市公司为样本,从短期和长期超额收益的角度分析投资者情绪对私募后股价差异的影响。本研究利用个股高频波动数据构建个股非主体投资者情绪,并利用多元回归分析探讨这种股价异常与投资者情绪之间的关系。结果表明,a股私募具有正向的短期公告效应,超额收益率主要发生在计划公告日期之前。计划公告日至公告后10个交易日的股价差与超额收益率呈显著负相关。此外,私募中的投资者情绪可能会对股票的长期表现产生负面影响。本研究认为,这一现象是由于较高的投资者情绪在短期内推动股价上涨,导致股价偏离基本面,产生错误定价,然后在信息披露的推动下回归基本面。在控制了信息披露的严重程度后,投资者情绪对股价长期表现的影响变得不显著。
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Private Placement, Investor Sentiment, and Stock Price Anomaly
The private placement of A-shares gained momentum with the release of the Administrative Measures for Securities Issuance of Listed Companies in 2006. This led to enhanced research on the impact of private placement on stock prices. In 2012, the Chinese government relaxed the requirements for directed issuance of listed companies, resulting in a surge of directed issuance since then. This study uses a sample of listed companies that conducted private placements in the A-share market between 2013 and 2021, to analyze the impact of investor sentiment on stock price differences after private placements from the perspective of short and long-term excess returns. This study constructs the non-main investor sentiment of individual stocks using high-frequency tick data of individual stocks and explores the relationship between this stock price anomaly and investor sentiment using multiple regression analysis. The results show a positive short-term announcement effect of A-share private placements, with the excess return rate occurring mainly before the plan announcement date. The stock price difference from the plan announcement date to ten trading days thereafter has a significantly negative relationship with the excess return rate. Furthermore, investor sentiment in private placements may negatively affect long-term stock performance. This study suggests that this phenomenon is caused by higher investor sentiment pushing stock prices upward in the short term, causing them to deviate from fundamentals, creating mispricing, and then driving them back to fundamentals, with information disclosure. After controlling for the severity of information disclosure, the effect of investor sentiment on long-term stock price performance becomes insignificant.
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来源期刊
CiteScore
1.50
自引率
14.30%
发文量
89
期刊介绍: JACIII focuses on advanced computational intelligence and intelligent informatics. The topics include, but are not limited to; Fuzzy logic, Fuzzy control, Neural Networks, GA and Evolutionary Computation, Hybrid Systems, Adaptation and Learning Systems, Distributed Intelligent Systems, Network systems, Multi-media, Human interface, Biologically inspired evolutionary systems, Artificial life, Chaos, Complex systems, Fractals, Robotics, Medical applications, Pattern recognition, Virtual reality, Wavelet analysis, Scientific applications, Industrial applications, and Artistic applications.
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