匈牙利农场对气候变化的认识和采用的创新减缓做法

Q2 Economics, Econometrics and Finance Agris On-line Papers in Economics and Informatics Pub Date : 2023-09-30 DOI:10.7160/aol.2023.150306
Manal Hamam, Maria Raimondo, Daniela Spina, Gábor Király, Giuseppe di Vita, Mario D’Amico, József Tóth
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引用次数: 0

摘要

气候变化正成为农业部门日益关注的问题。干旱和洪水等多变的天气事件预计将对农业损失、收入和消费产生重大负面影响。欧洲的农业也不能幸免于这些困难。这项研究的重点是匈牙利,一个以农业为重点的国家,因此特别容易受到气候变化的影响。进行了探索性因素分析(EFA),以综合有关匈牙利农民对气候变化危险的看法的数据。然后,在Logit模型中使用潜在变量作为解释变量,以调查匈牙利农民对气候变化风险的感知与他们采用创新方式减轻其影响的倾向之间的联系。温度和降水的变化、经济损失、水害和昆虫损害被匈牙利农民视为气候变化最严重的影响。这些信念提高了采取新战略来抵消有害后果的可能性,包括(i)采用新品种,(ii)冰和霜冻保护,以及(iii)利用农业气象数据。结果表明,农民对病虫害、病原菌和病害危害程度的评价对采用新品种的机会有很大影响(2.91***)。相比之下,对水害的担忧似乎对采用新方法来减少寒冷和霜冻损害有重大影响(2.18***)。这项研究的发现支持了利益相关者和政策制定者鼓励传播技术以保护匈牙利作物免受气候变化影响的努力,并暗示政府应该向农民提供财政激励,以促进创新的吸收。
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Climate Change Perception and Innovative Mitigation Practices Adopted by Hungarian Farms
Climate change is becoming a growing concern for the agricultural sector. Variable weather events, such as droughts and floods, are expected to have a significant negative impact on agricultural losses, earnings and consumption. The agriculture industry in Europe is not immune to these difficulties. This study focuses on Hungary, a country with a strong agricultural focus that, as a result, is particularly susceptible to climate change. An exploratory factor analysis (EFA) was performed to synthesis data about the perspectives of Hungarian farmers on the dangers of climate change. Then, latent variables were employed as explanatory variables in the Logit model to investigate the link between the perceptions of climate change risks by Hungarian farmers and their inclination to adopt innovative ways to mitigate its repercussions. Changes in temperature and precipitation, economic damage, water damage, and insect damage are seen as the most serious repercussions of climate change by Hungarian farmers. These beliefs raise the possibility of adopting new strategies to offset harmful consequences, including (i) the adoption of new varieties, (ii) ice and frost protection, and (iii) the use of agro-meteorological data. The results show that the chance of adopting new varieties is substantially influenced by farmers’ assessments of harm caused by pests, pathogens, and illnesses (2.91***). In contrast, water damage concerns seem to have a significant impact on the adoption of novel approaches to reduce cold and frost damage (2.18***). This study’s findings support the efforts of stakeholders and policymakers to encourage the dissemination of technology to protect crops from climate change in Hungary and imply that governments should provide financial incentives to farmers to boost innovation uptake.
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来源期刊
Agris On-line Papers in Economics and Informatics
Agris On-line Papers in Economics and Informatics Economics, Econometrics and Finance-Economics, Econometrics and Finance (miscellaneous)
CiteScore
2.20
自引率
0.00%
发文量
28
期刊介绍: The international journal AGRIS on-line Papers in Economics and Informatics is a scholarly open access, blind peer-reviewed by two reviewers, interdisciplinary, and fully refereed scientific journal. The journal is published quarterly on March 30, June 30, September 30 and December 30 of the current year by the Faculty of Economics and Management, Czech University of Life Sciences Prague. AGRIS on-line Papers in Economics and Informatics covers all areas of agriculture and rural development: -agricultural economics -agribusiness -agricultural policy and finance -agricultural management -agriculture''s contribution to rural development -information and communication technologies -information and database systems -e-business and internet marketing -ICT in environment -GIS, spatial analysis and landscape planning The journal provides a leading forum for an interaction and research on the above-mentioned topics of interest. The journal serves as a valuable resource for academics, policy makers and managers seeking up-to-date research on all areas of the subject. The journal prefers scientific papers by international teams of authors who deal with problems concerning the focus of our journal in the world-wide scope with relation to Europe.
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