消费者价格指数、货币供应金额、国内生产总值、利率和美元汇率表的影响

Yulianto Umar Rofi'i
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摘要

本研究旨在分析各种假设的经济变量与卢比对美元汇率波动之间的关系。考虑的变量包括印度尼西亚和美国的消费者价格指数的对数差、印度尼西亚和美国的货币供应量的对数差、印度尼西亚和美国的国内生产总值的对数差、印度尼西亚和美国利率的对数差以及印度尼西亚国际收支的对数差。数据分析结果表明,只有印尼与美国国内生产总值的对数之差和印尼与美国利率的对数之差对印尼盾汇率的变化有显著影响。r平方为61.6%,说明观察到的因变量变化可以由自变量解释,其余38.4%受其他因素的影响。本研究的结论是,国内生产总值的对数变化的差异和利率的对数的差异对卢比汇率的波动有显著的影响。
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Pengaruh Indeks Harga Konsumen, Jumlah Uang Beredar, Produk Domestik Bruto, Suku Bunga, dan Neraca Pembayaran Terhadap Nilai Tukar Rupiah
This study aims to analyze the relationship between various assumed economic variables and exchange rate fluctuations of the Rupee against the US dollar. The variables considered include the logarithmic difference of the consumer price index of Indonesia and the United States, the logarithmic difference of the money supply of Indonesia and the United States, the logarithmic difference of the gross domestic product of Indonesia and the United States, the logarithmic difference of the Indonesian and US interest rates and the logarithm of the Indonesian balance of payments. The data analysis results show that only the difference between the logarithm of the gross domestic product of Indonesia and the US and the difference between the logarithm of the interest rates of Indonesia and the US have a significant influence on the change in the exchange rate of Indonesia rupiah. The R-squared of 61.6% shows that the observed variation in the dependent variable can be explained by the independent variables, while the remaining 38.4% is influenced by other factors. The conclusion of this study is that the difference in change in the logarithm of gross domestic product and the difference in the logarithm of interest rate have a significant impact on the volatility of the rupee exchange rate.
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