{"title":"俄罗斯由极端天气事件引起的能源事故的规模和动态","authors":"N.V. Gorbacheva, A.Yu. Timofeeva","doi":"10.14529/power230301","DOIUrl":null,"url":null,"abstract":"The Russian energy system is a principal agent in and an important recipient of climate change. The performance of the power system in response to extreme weather conditions manifests to different degrees in different regions with particular climate characteristics and with different power generation facilities. This article identifies the most vulnerable clusters of regions and assesses industrial and social damage from energy accidents caused by extreme weather. On the basis the cluster analysis of 5,380 recorded primary data about energy accidents provided by Situational Analytical Center of the Russian Ministry of Energy from 2014 to 2019, six accident groups are formed according to scale, frequency, and seasonality. A regression model of economic damage demonstrates that, in general, the negative effects of energy accidents are increasing, although the long-term impact on economic development of Russian regions is caused more by household electricity outages than industrial outages.","PeriodicalId":56219,"journal":{"name":"Vestnik UznoUral''skogo Gosudarstvennogo Universiteta Seria Energetika","volume":null,"pages":null},"PeriodicalIF":0.0000,"publicationDate":"2023-01-01","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":"0","resultStr":"{\"title\":\"THE SCALE AND DYNAMICS OF ENERGY ACCIDENTS IN RUSSIA CAUSED BY EXTREME WEATHER EVENTS\",\"authors\":\"N.V. Gorbacheva, A.Yu. Timofeeva\",\"doi\":\"10.14529/power230301\",\"DOIUrl\":null,\"url\":null,\"abstract\":\"The Russian energy system is a principal agent in and an important recipient of climate change. The performance of the power system in response to extreme weather conditions manifests to different degrees in different regions with particular climate characteristics and with different power generation facilities. This article identifies the most vulnerable clusters of regions and assesses industrial and social damage from energy accidents caused by extreme weather. On the basis the cluster analysis of 5,380 recorded primary data about energy accidents provided by Situational Analytical Center of the Russian Ministry of Energy from 2014 to 2019, six accident groups are formed according to scale, frequency, and seasonality. A regression model of economic damage demonstrates that, in general, the negative effects of energy accidents are increasing, although the long-term impact on economic development of Russian regions is caused more by household electricity outages than industrial outages.\",\"PeriodicalId\":56219,\"journal\":{\"name\":\"Vestnik UznoUral''skogo Gosudarstvennogo Universiteta Seria Energetika\",\"volume\":null,\"pages\":null},\"PeriodicalIF\":0.0000,\"publicationDate\":\"2023-01-01\",\"publicationTypes\":\"Journal Article\",\"fieldsOfStudy\":null,\"isOpenAccess\":false,\"openAccessPdf\":\"\",\"citationCount\":\"0\",\"resultStr\":null,\"platform\":\"Semanticscholar\",\"paperid\":null,\"PeriodicalName\":\"Vestnik UznoUral''skogo Gosudarstvennogo Universiteta Seria Energetika\",\"FirstCategoryId\":\"1085\",\"ListUrlMain\":\"https://doi.org/10.14529/power230301\",\"RegionNum\":0,\"RegionCategory\":null,\"ArticlePicture\":[],\"TitleCN\":null,\"AbstractTextCN\":null,\"PMCID\":null,\"EPubDate\":\"\",\"PubModel\":\"\",\"JCR\":\"\",\"JCRName\":\"\",\"Score\":null,\"Total\":0}","platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":null,"PeriodicalName":"Vestnik UznoUral''skogo Gosudarstvennogo Universiteta Seria Energetika","FirstCategoryId":"1085","ListUrlMain":"https://doi.org/10.14529/power230301","RegionNum":0,"RegionCategory":null,"ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":null,"EPubDate":"","PubModel":"","JCR":"","JCRName":"","Score":null,"Total":0}
THE SCALE AND DYNAMICS OF ENERGY ACCIDENTS IN RUSSIA CAUSED BY EXTREME WEATHER EVENTS
The Russian energy system is a principal agent in and an important recipient of climate change. The performance of the power system in response to extreme weather conditions manifests to different degrees in different regions with particular climate characteristics and with different power generation facilities. This article identifies the most vulnerable clusters of regions and assesses industrial and social damage from energy accidents caused by extreme weather. On the basis the cluster analysis of 5,380 recorded primary data about energy accidents provided by Situational Analytical Center of the Russian Ministry of Energy from 2014 to 2019, six accident groups are formed according to scale, frequency, and seasonality. A regression model of economic damage demonstrates that, in general, the negative effects of energy accidents are increasing, although the long-term impact on economic development of Russian regions is caused more by household electricity outages than industrial outages.
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