检验功能时间序列中的变化点与长程依赖性

IF 16.4 1区 化学 Q1 CHEMISTRY, MULTIDISCIPLINARY Accounts of Chemical Research Pub Date : 2023-09-20 DOI:10.1111/jtsa.12723
Changryong Baek, Piotr Kokoszka, Xiangdong Meng
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引用次数: 0

摘要

在函数时间序列的背景下,我们提出了一种显著性检验方法来区分具有变化点的短时记忆和长程依赖性。该检验基于投影到最佳方向上的系数,而最佳方向能捕捉到由于潜在变化点而无法观测的潜在静态函数的依赖结构。最佳方向也必须进行估计。检验统计量是利用应用于这些系数的局部惠特尔估计器构建的。在零假设(变化点)下,统计量呈标准正态分布,而在备择假设(长距离依赖性)下,统计量发散到无穷大。文章包括渐近理论、模拟研究以及对源自盘中资产价格的曲线值时间序列的应用。
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Test of change point versus long-range dependence in functional time series

In the context of functional time series, we propose a significance test to distinguish between short memory with a change point and long range dependence. The test is based on coefficients of projections onto an optimal direction that captures the dependence structure of the latent stationary functions that are not observable due to a potential change point. The optimal direction must be estimated as well. The test statistic is constructed using the local Whittle estimator applied to these coefficients. It has standard normal distribution under the null hypothesis (change point) and diverges to infinity under the alternative (long range dependence). The article includes asymptotic theory, a simulation study and an application to curve-valued time series derived from intraday asset prices.

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来源期刊
Accounts of Chemical Research
Accounts of Chemical Research 化学-化学综合
CiteScore
31.40
自引率
1.10%
发文量
312
审稿时长
2 months
期刊介绍: Accounts of Chemical Research presents short, concise and critical articles offering easy-to-read overviews of basic research and applications in all areas of chemistry and biochemistry. These short reviews focus on research from the author’s own laboratory and are designed to teach the reader about a research project. In addition, Accounts of Chemical Research publishes commentaries that give an informed opinion on a current research problem. Special Issues online are devoted to a single topic of unusual activity and significance. Accounts of Chemical Research replaces the traditional article abstract with an article "Conspectus." These entries synopsize the research affording the reader a closer look at the content and significance of an article. Through this provision of a more detailed description of the article contents, the Conspectus enhances the article's discoverability by search engines and the exposure for the research.
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