IL-6与胃癌预后相关性的回顾性研究

IF 3.9 3区 医学 Q1 GASTROENTEROLOGY & HEPATOLOGY Therapeutic Advances in Gastroenterology Pub Date : 2023-11-17 eCollection Date: 2023-01-01 DOI:10.1177/17562848231211543
Panping Liang, Yuexin Zhang, Tianyuchen Jiang, Tao Jin, Zhengwen Chen, Zedong Li, Zehua Chen, Fengjun He, Jiankun Hu, Kun Yang
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引用次数: 0

摘要

背景:胃癌(胃癌)是常见的致死性肿瘤之一。肿瘤、淋巴结、转移(Tumor, Node, Metastasis, TNM)分期是目前世界公认的最经典的分期系统,但由于影响胃癌患者预后的因素较多,一直存在争议。目的:探讨白细胞介素-6 (IL-6)与多项临床指标的关系,构建预后模型,更好地预测胃癌的预后。设计:回顾性研究。方法:收集华西医院GC中心诊断为GC的249例患者资料。分析临床病理特征,判断IL-6 HIGH组与IL-6 LOW组之间是否存在差异。此外,还明确了两组与肿瘤标志物水平的关系。用log-rank检验绘制3年和5年K-M曲线。随后,我们进行了单因素和多因素分析,并绘制了预测的nomogram。采用c指数和校正方法评价nomogram对预后的预测价值。结果:IL-6 HIGH组和IL-6 LOW组胃癌总生存期分别为47.8个月(95% CI: 42.1 ~ 53.4)和57.9个月(95% CI: 54.1 ~ 61.7),差异有统计学意义(p = 0.0046)。两组间胃癌平均肿瘤大小(p = 0.000)和神经侵犯(p = 0.018)差异均有统计学意义。多因素分析显示,影响预后的因素为IL-6 (p = 0.039)、N期(HR: 1.336, 95% CI: 1.106 ~ 1.615, p = 0.003)、T期(HR: 1.268, 95% CI: 0.998 ~ 1.611, p = 0.052), c指数为0.71纳入nomogram。目前数据计算TNM分期c指数为0.68,两种模型差异的p值为0.08。内部验证显示,预测的总生存期与实际观察到的患者生存期没有显著差异。结论:IL-6的差异表达有鉴别胃癌患者预后的倾向。IL-6、N分期、T分期是独立的预后因素,由以上三个指标组成的新的生存预后模型优于经典的TNM分期系统。试验注册:本研究为回顾性研究,不需要临床注册。
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Association between IL-6 and prognosis of gastric cancer: a retrospective study.

Background: Gastric cancer (GC) is one of the common and fatal cancers. Even though the Tumor, Node, Metastasis (TNM) staging system is the most classical staging system recognized worldwide, it has been controversial because there are various factors affecting the prognosis of GC patients.

Objectives: The study aims to evaluate the relationship between interleukin-6 (IL-6) and several clinical indicators and construct a prognostic model to better predict the prognosis of GC.

Design: A retrospective study.

Methods: Data of 249 patients with GC diagnosed in GC center of West China Hospital were collected. Clinicopathological characteristics were analyzed to determine whether there were differences between IL-6 HIGH group and IL-6 LOW group. Besides, the association between the two groups and tumor marker levels was clarified. The K-M curves of 3- and 5-year were plotted with log-rank test. Afterward, we conducted univariate and multivariate analysis and a predicting nomogram. Significantly, C-index, and calibration were used to evaluate the value of nomogram in predicting prognosis.

Results: The overall survival of GC in the IL-6 HIGH and IL-6 LOW groups were 47.8 months (95% CI: 42.1-53.4) and 57.9 months (95% CI: 54.1-61.7), respectively, with significant differences (p = 0.0046). Average tumor size of GC (p = 0.000) and nerve invasion (p = 0.018) were statistically significant between two groups. Multivariate analysis revealed that the factors affecting prognosis were IL-6 (<5.51 and ⩾5.51 pg/ml) (Hazard Ratio(HR): 1.665, 95% CI: 1.026-2.703, p = 0.039), N stage (HR: 1.336, 95% CI: 1.106-1.615, p = 0.003), and T stage (HR: 1.268, 95% CI: 0.998-1.611, p = 0.052), which were included in the nomogram with a C-index of 0.71. The current data calculated TNM staging C-index was 0.68, and the p-value for the difference between the two models was 0.08. Internal validation revealed that the predicted overall survival did not differ significantly from the actual observed patient survival.

Conclusion: The differential expression of IL-6 has a tendency to differentiate the prognosis of GC patients. IL-6, N stage, and T stage are independent prognostic factors, and the new survival prognostic model consisting of the above three indicators is better than the classical TNM staging system.

Trial registration: This study is a retrospective study, which does not require clinical registration.

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来源期刊
Therapeutic Advances in Gastroenterology
Therapeutic Advances in Gastroenterology GASTROENTEROLOGY & HEPATOLOGY-
CiteScore
6.70
自引率
2.40%
发文量
103
审稿时长
15 weeks
期刊介绍: Therapeutic Advances in Gastroenterology is an open access journal which delivers the highest quality peer-reviewed original research articles, reviews, and scholarly comment on pioneering efforts and innovative studies in the medical treatment of gastrointestinal and hepatic disorders. The journal has a strong clinical and pharmacological focus and is aimed at an international audience of clinicians and researchers in gastroenterology and related disciplines, providing an online forum for rapid dissemination of recent research and perspectives in this area. The editors welcome original research articles across all areas of gastroenterology and hepatology. The journal publishes original research articles and review articles primarily. Original research manuscripts may include laboratory, animal or human/clinical studies – all phases. Letters to the Editor and Case Reports will also be considered.
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