GNRI, PLR和卒中相关性肺炎:从关联到基于web的动态Nomogram。

IF 3.5 3区 医学 Q2 GERIATRICS & GERONTOLOGY Clinical Interventions in Aging Pub Date : 2023-11-17 eCollection Date: 2023-01-01 DOI:10.2147/CIA.S433388
Chunqing Wang, Xiaoyao Jiang, Di Wu, Mengjun Ge, Li Deng
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引用次数: 0

摘要

目的:探讨老年营养风险指数(GNRI)和血小板淋巴细胞比(PLR)与急性缺血性卒中(AIS)患者卒中相关性肺炎(SAP)的关系,建立并验证基于网络的动态图。方法:收集徐州医科大学附属医院内科及神经内科住院的AIS患者996例。根据SAP的发生情况分为非SAP组和SAP组。数据按7:3的比例随机分为训练集和验证集。采用LASSO回归和多变量logistic回归分析筛选独立危险因素,形成动态模态图。采用受试者工作特征曲线(AUC-ROC)下面积、校准曲线下面积和决策曲线分析(DCA)曲线下面积分别验证模型的判别能力、校准和临床价值。结果:AIS患者中有221例(22.19%)发生SAP,年龄、NIHSS评分、合并心房颤动、吞咽困难、PLR、GNRI是影响AIS患者发生SAP的独立因素。基于这六个变量开发了一个基于web的动态nomogram。训练集的AUC-ROC为0.864 (95% CI: 0.828-0.892),验证集的AUC-ROC为0.825 (95% CI: 0.772-0.882),表明该模型具有较好的预测能力和判别能力。校正曲线显示模型校正良好,DCA曲线显示其临床应用价值。任何人都可以在网站(https://moonlittledoctor.shinyapps.io/ANADPG/)上访问和使用该模型。结论:PLR和GNRI是影响AIS患者SAP发生的独立因素,构建动态nomogram预测AIS患者SAP发生的风险。可以指导临床决策,改善患者预后。
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GNRI, PLR and Stroke-Associated Pneumonia: From Association to Development of a Web-Based Dynamic Nomogram.

Objective: Discussing the relationship between geriatric nutritional risk index (GNRI) and platelet-to-lymphocyte ratio (PLR) on stroke-associated pneumonia (SAP) in acute ischemic stroke (AIS) patients, developing and validating a web-based dynamic nomogram.

Methods: A total of 996 AIS patients admitted to the Department of General Medicine and Neurology at Xuzhou Medical University Affiliated Hospital were collected. They were divided into Non-SAP group and SAP group based on the occurrence of SAP. The data was randomly divided into training set and validation set in a ratio of 7:3. LASSO regression and multivariable logistic regression analysis were used to screen for independent risk factors and develop a dynamic nomogram. Area under the receiver operating characteristic curve (AUC-ROC), calibration curve, and decision curve analysis (DCA) curve were used to validate the model's discriminative ability, calibration, and clinical value, respectively.

Results: Among AIS patients, a total of 221 cases (22.19%) developed SAP. Age, NIHSS score, comorbid atrial fibrillation, dysphagia, PLR, and GNRI were identified as independent factors influencing the occurrence of SAP in AIS patients. A web-based dynamic nomogram was developed based on these six variables. The training set showed an AUC-ROC of 0.864 (95% CI: 0.828-0.892), while the validation set showed an AUC-ROC of 0.825 (95% CI: 0.772-0.882), indicating good predictive ability and discrimination of the model. The calibration curve demonstrated good calibration of the model, and the DCA curve showed its clinical value. This model can be accessed and utilized by anyone on the website (https://moonlittledoctor.shinyapps.io/ANADPG/).

Conclusion: PLR and GNRI are independent factors influencing the occurrence of SAP in AIS patients, and a dynamic nomogram was constructed to predict the risk of SAP in AIS patients. It can guide clinical decision-making and improve patient prognosis.

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来源期刊
Clinical Interventions in Aging
Clinical Interventions in Aging GERIATRICS & GERONTOLOGY-
CiteScore
6.80
自引率
2.80%
发文量
193
审稿时长
6-12 weeks
期刊介绍: Clinical Interventions in Aging, is an online, peer reviewed, open access journal focusing on concise rapid reporting of original research and reviews in aging. Special attention will be given to papers reporting on actual or potential clinical applications leading to improved prevention or treatment of disease or a greater understanding of pathological processes that result from maladaptive changes in the body associated with aging. This journal is directed at a wide array of scientists, engineers, pharmacists, pharmacologists and clinical specialists wishing to maintain an up to date knowledge of this exciting and emerging field.
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