{"title":"考虑人力资本积累的COVID-19平均场博弈模型","authors":"Daria Ghilli, Cristiano Ricci, Giovanni Zanco","doi":"10.1007/s00199-023-01505-0","DOIUrl":null,"url":null,"abstract":"<p>In this manuscript, we study a model of human capital accumulation during the spread of disease following an agent-based approach, where agents behave maximising their intertemporal utility. We assume that the agent interaction is of mean field type, yielding a mean field game description of the problem. We discuss how the analysis of a model including both the mechanism of change of species from one epidemiological state to the other and an optimisation problem for each agent leads to an aggregate behaviour that is not easy to describe, and that sometimes exhibits structural issues. Therefore we eventually propose and study numerically a SEIRD model in which the rate of infection depends on the distribution of the population, given exogenously as the solution to the mean field game system arising as the macroscopic description of the discrete multi-agent economic model for the accumulation of human capital. Such a model arises in fact as a simplified but tractable version of the initial one.</p>","PeriodicalId":47982,"journal":{"name":"Economic Theory","volume":"8 2","pages":""},"PeriodicalIF":1.2000,"publicationDate":"2023-07-03","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":"0","resultStr":"{\"title\":\"A mean field game model for COVID-19 with human capital accumulation\",\"authors\":\"Daria Ghilli, Cristiano Ricci, Giovanni Zanco\",\"doi\":\"10.1007/s00199-023-01505-0\",\"DOIUrl\":null,\"url\":null,\"abstract\":\"<p>In this manuscript, we study a model of human capital accumulation during the spread of disease following an agent-based approach, where agents behave maximising their intertemporal utility. We assume that the agent interaction is of mean field type, yielding a mean field game description of the problem. We discuss how the analysis of a model including both the mechanism of change of species from one epidemiological state to the other and an optimisation problem for each agent leads to an aggregate behaviour that is not easy to describe, and that sometimes exhibits structural issues. Therefore we eventually propose and study numerically a SEIRD model in which the rate of infection depends on the distribution of the population, given exogenously as the solution to the mean field game system arising as the macroscopic description of the discrete multi-agent economic model for the accumulation of human capital. Such a model arises in fact as a simplified but tractable version of the initial one.</p>\",\"PeriodicalId\":47982,\"journal\":{\"name\":\"Economic Theory\",\"volume\":\"8 2\",\"pages\":\"\"},\"PeriodicalIF\":1.2000,\"publicationDate\":\"2023-07-03\",\"publicationTypes\":\"Journal Article\",\"fieldsOfStudy\":null,\"isOpenAccess\":false,\"openAccessPdf\":\"\",\"citationCount\":\"0\",\"resultStr\":null,\"platform\":\"Semanticscholar\",\"paperid\":null,\"PeriodicalName\":\"Economic Theory\",\"FirstCategoryId\":\"96\",\"ListUrlMain\":\"https://doi.org/10.1007/s00199-023-01505-0\",\"RegionNum\":3,\"RegionCategory\":\"经济学\",\"ArticlePicture\":[],\"TitleCN\":null,\"AbstractTextCN\":null,\"PMCID\":null,\"EPubDate\":\"\",\"PubModel\":\"\",\"JCR\":\"Q3\",\"JCRName\":\"ECONOMICS\",\"Score\":null,\"Total\":0}","platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":null,"PeriodicalName":"Economic Theory","FirstCategoryId":"96","ListUrlMain":"https://doi.org/10.1007/s00199-023-01505-0","RegionNum":3,"RegionCategory":"经济学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":null,"EPubDate":"","PubModel":"","JCR":"Q3","JCRName":"ECONOMICS","Score":null,"Total":0}
A mean field game model for COVID-19 with human capital accumulation
In this manuscript, we study a model of human capital accumulation during the spread of disease following an agent-based approach, where agents behave maximising their intertemporal utility. We assume that the agent interaction is of mean field type, yielding a mean field game description of the problem. We discuss how the analysis of a model including both the mechanism of change of species from one epidemiological state to the other and an optimisation problem for each agent leads to an aggregate behaviour that is not easy to describe, and that sometimes exhibits structural issues. Therefore we eventually propose and study numerically a SEIRD model in which the rate of infection depends on the distribution of the population, given exogenously as the solution to the mean field game system arising as the macroscopic description of the discrete multi-agent economic model for the accumulation of human capital. Such a model arises in fact as a simplified but tractable version of the initial one.
期刊介绍:
The purpose of Economic Theory is to provide an outlet for research - in all areas of economics based on rigorous theoretical reasoning, and
- on specific topics in mathematics which is motivated by the analysis of economic problems. Economic Theory''s scope encompasses - but is not limited to - the following fields. - classical and modern equilibrium theory
- cooperative and non-cooperative game theory
- macroeconomics
- social choice and welfare
- uncertainty and information, intertemporal economics (including dynamical systems)
- public economics
- international and developmental economics
- financial economics, money and banking
- industrial organization Economic Theory also publishes surveys if they clearly picture the basic ideas at work in some areas, the essential technical apparatus which is used and the central questions which remain open. The development of a productive dialectic between stylized facts and abstract formulations requires that economic relevance be at the forefront. Thus, correct, and innovative, mathematical analysis is not enough; it must be motivated by - and contribute to - the understanding of substantive economic problems.
Officially cited as: Econ Theory