俄罗斯区域中心和周边地区的年龄特定移民

IF 1.5 Q2 DEMOGRAPHY Comparative Population Studies Pub Date : 2020-05-27 DOI:10.12765/cpos-2020-12
Liliya Karachurina,Nikita Mkrtchyan
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引用次数: 0

摘要

拉文斯坦在19世纪的论文中观察到,移民随生命历程而变化。然而,他没有详细调查这种差异,因为当时没有必要的数据。年龄特异性迁移一直是20世纪和21世纪移民研究的热点。在此研究的基础上,本文探讨了俄罗斯特定年龄的移民,重点关注其空间多样性。我们比较了在俄罗斯和其他发达国家发现的特定年龄的移民模式。在本次调查中,我们主要使用了俄罗斯2012-2016年居住登记的行政数据,以及2010年最新人口普查中按年龄划分的人口信息。这些数据是通过对地方行政单位按距离俄罗斯主要城市(区域中心)的远近程度进行分类来分析的。主要结果如下:在俄罗斯,年轻人强烈地参与了外围地区和区域中心之间的移民流动。区域中心的净移民盈余主要是由15-19岁开始继续教育和高等教育课程的移民产生的。移民高峰出现在这个年龄段。由于高等教育机构位于大城市,这种类型的迁移代表了空间层次上的向上流动。20-29岁和30-39岁的移民人数要少得多,但他们也补充了区域中心的人口。中年移民和有子女的家庭被引导到离区域中心最近的地区,即郊区。这种类型的迁移发生在中产阶级发达、购买力高的地区,例如莫斯科市和莫斯科州。周边地区也有类似的年龄特定迁移概况,但是损失而不是收获。离区域中心越远的地方,年轻人外流越显著,移民对人口老龄化的影响也越大。农村边缘地区和小城市只吸引老年移民,但这一流入远远小于流出的年轻人。因此,在其他国家观察到的移民方向和年龄选择性也在俄罗斯发现,尽管俄罗斯城市和地区的住房性质存在重要差异。*本文属于“内部移民作为欧洲区域人口变化的驱动因素:更新Ravenstein”特刊。
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Age-specific Migration in Regional Centres and Peripheral Areas of Russia
Ravenstein, writing in 19th century papers, observed that migration varied with the life course. However, he did not investigate this variation in detail, as the necessary data were not then available. Age-specific migration has been a focus for researchers of migration in the 20th and 21st centuries. Building on this research, the current paper explores age-specific migration in Russia focussing on its spatial diversity. We compare age-specific migration patterns found in Russia and those observed in other developed countries. For this investigation, we mainly use Russian administrative data on residence registration for 2012-2016, together with information on populations by age in the latest census in 2010. The data are analysed using a classification of local administrative units classified by degree of remoteness from Russia’s principal cities (regional centres). The main results are as follows: In Russia, young people participate strongly in migration flows between peripheral territories and regional centres. The net migration surplus in regional centres is mostly produced by the migration of 15-19 year-olds starting further and higher education courses. Peak migration occurs in this age group. This type of migration represents upward mobility in the spatial hierarchy because institutions of higher education are located in the large cities. People aged 20-29 and 30-39 migrate in much smaller numbers, but they also replenish the population of regional centres. The inflow of middle-aged migrants and families with children was directed to the areas located closest to the regional centres, the suburbs. This type of migration is observed in regions with a well-developed middle class with high purchasing power, for example, in the city of Moscow and in the Moscow Region. Peripheral territories have similar profiles of age-specific migration, but of loss rather than gain. The farther they are from regional centres, the more significant the outflow of young people and the stronger the impact of migration on population ageing. The rural periphery and small cities attract only elderly migrants, but this inflow is far smaller than the outflow of young people. The directions and age selectivity of migration observed in other countries are thus also found in Russia, although there are important differences associated with the nature of housing in Russian cities and regions. * This article belongs to a special issue on “Internal Migration as a Driver of Regional Population Change in Europe: Updating Ravenstein”.
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CiteScore
1.80
自引率
0.00%
发文量
15
审稿时长
26 weeks
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