Stephen Millard, Margarita Rubio, Alexandra Varadi
{"title":"宏观审慎工具包:有效性和相互作用","authors":"Stephen Millard, Margarita Rubio, Alexandra Varadi","doi":"10.1111/obes.12582","DOIUrl":null,"url":null,"abstract":"<p>We use a DSGE model with financial frictions and with macroprudential limits on both banks and mortgage borrowers, in the form of capital requirements and maximum debt-service ratios. We then examine: (i) the impact of different combinations of macroprudential limits on key macroeconomic aggregates; (ii) their interaction with each other and with monetary policy; and (iii) their effects on the volatility of key macroeconomic variables and on welfare. We find that capital requirements on banks are the optimal tool when faced with a financial shock, as they nullify the effects of financial frictions and reduce the effects of the shock on the real economy. Instead, limits on mortgage debt-service ratios are optimal following a housing demand shock, as they disconnect the housing market from the real economy, reducing the volatility of inflation. Hence, no policy on its own is sufficient to deal with a wide range of shocks.</p>","PeriodicalId":54654,"journal":{"name":"Oxford Bulletin of Economics and Statistics","volume":"86 2","pages":"335-384"},"PeriodicalIF":1.5000,"publicationDate":"2023-11-30","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"https://onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/epdf/10.1111/obes.12582","citationCount":"0","resultStr":"{\"title\":\"The Macroprudential Toolkit: Effectiveness and Interactions\",\"authors\":\"Stephen Millard, Margarita Rubio, Alexandra Varadi\",\"doi\":\"10.1111/obes.12582\",\"DOIUrl\":null,\"url\":null,\"abstract\":\"<p>We use a DSGE model with financial frictions and with macroprudential limits on both banks and mortgage borrowers, in the form of capital requirements and maximum debt-service ratios. We then examine: (i) the impact of different combinations of macroprudential limits on key macroeconomic aggregates; (ii) their interaction with each other and with monetary policy; and (iii) their effects on the volatility of key macroeconomic variables and on welfare. We find that capital requirements on banks are the optimal tool when faced with a financial shock, as they nullify the effects of financial frictions and reduce the effects of the shock on the real economy. Instead, limits on mortgage debt-service ratios are optimal following a housing demand shock, as they disconnect the housing market from the real economy, reducing the volatility of inflation. Hence, no policy on its own is sufficient to deal with a wide range of shocks.</p>\",\"PeriodicalId\":54654,\"journal\":{\"name\":\"Oxford Bulletin of Economics and Statistics\",\"volume\":\"86 2\",\"pages\":\"335-384\"},\"PeriodicalIF\":1.5000,\"publicationDate\":\"2023-11-30\",\"publicationTypes\":\"Journal Article\",\"fieldsOfStudy\":null,\"isOpenAccess\":false,\"openAccessPdf\":\"https://onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/epdf/10.1111/obes.12582\",\"citationCount\":\"0\",\"resultStr\":null,\"platform\":\"Semanticscholar\",\"paperid\":null,\"PeriodicalName\":\"Oxford Bulletin of Economics and Statistics\",\"FirstCategoryId\":\"96\",\"ListUrlMain\":\"https://onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/10.1111/obes.12582\",\"RegionNum\":3,\"RegionCategory\":\"经济学\",\"ArticlePicture\":[],\"TitleCN\":null,\"AbstractTextCN\":null,\"PMCID\":null,\"EPubDate\":\"\",\"PubModel\":\"\",\"JCR\":\"Q2\",\"JCRName\":\"ECONOMICS\",\"Score\":null,\"Total\":0}","platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":null,"PeriodicalName":"Oxford Bulletin of Economics and Statistics","FirstCategoryId":"96","ListUrlMain":"https://onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/10.1111/obes.12582","RegionNum":3,"RegionCategory":"经济学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":null,"EPubDate":"","PubModel":"","JCR":"Q2","JCRName":"ECONOMICS","Score":null,"Total":0}
The Macroprudential Toolkit: Effectiveness and Interactions
We use a DSGE model with financial frictions and with macroprudential limits on both banks and mortgage borrowers, in the form of capital requirements and maximum debt-service ratios. We then examine: (i) the impact of different combinations of macroprudential limits on key macroeconomic aggregates; (ii) their interaction with each other and with monetary policy; and (iii) their effects on the volatility of key macroeconomic variables and on welfare. We find that capital requirements on banks are the optimal tool when faced with a financial shock, as they nullify the effects of financial frictions and reduce the effects of the shock on the real economy. Instead, limits on mortgage debt-service ratios are optimal following a housing demand shock, as they disconnect the housing market from the real economy, reducing the volatility of inflation. Hence, no policy on its own is sufficient to deal with a wide range of shocks.
期刊介绍:
Whilst the Oxford Bulletin of Economics and Statistics publishes papers in all areas of applied economics, emphasis is placed on the practical importance, theoretical interest and policy-relevance of their substantive results, as well as on the methodology and technical competence of the research.
Contributions on the topical issues of economic policy and the testing of currently controversial economic theories are encouraged, as well as more empirical research on both developed and developing countries.